|

USD/TRY struggles to justify the strongest risk reversal in two months around 18.25

USD/TRY licks its wounds around 18.22 during the early Tuesday morning in Europe, after falling the most in a month the previous day. In doing so, the Turkish lira (TRY) pair takes clues from the hawkish signals of the options market.

That said, one-month risk reversal (RR) on USD/TRY, a measure of the spread between call and put prices, rose the most since July 11 on Monday, after witnessing three consecutive weekly downsides. It should be noted that the daily and weekly RR are at 1.855 at the latest, per the Reuters options data.

A call option gives the holder the right but not the obligation to buy the underlying asset at a predetermined price on or before a specific date. A put option represents a right to sell. 

It’s worth noting that the inflation woes in Turkiye appear to be the major bullish catalyst for the USD/TRY pair. However, the cautious mood ahead of today’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) seems to test the pair bulls of late.

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds gains around 1.1800 amid renewed USD selling

EUR/USD regains positive traction and holds around 1.1800 in the European session, reversing the previous day's modest losses. The pair's uptick is sponsored by the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling, which remains induced by persistent trade-related uncertainties. 

GBP/USD strengthens above 1.3500 on softer US Dollar

GBP/USD is posting moderate gains above 1.3500 in European trading on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar meets fresh supply following US President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address and amid looming tariff uncertainty. 

Gold eyes monthly top above $5,200 amid geopolitics, trade jitters

Gold buyers are back in the game, eyeing $5,200 and beyonf on Wednesday after seeing a correction from monthly highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar slips after Trump’s SOTU fails to impress and as AI-driven worries ease. Dovish Fed bets also weigh.  Gold looks north so long as the key 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 holds on the daily chart.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels.

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom, with Q4 revenue projected near $65.6–66.1 billion, nearly 70% higher year-over-year. But investors are watching cash flow, leverage, and broader AI adoption. Growth is strong, but the AI stress isn’t over.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.