|

USD/TRY Price Analysis: Aims to confirm double top bearish pattern below 8.8000

  • USD/TRY holds lower ground after breaking two-week-old support line.
  • Bearish MACD backs sellers targeting 100-SMA, confirmation of double tops.
  • Buyers can refresh record tops on rejecting the bearish chart formation.

USD/TRY bears catch a breather around 8.6900, following the heaviest daily fall in a week, during early Tuesday. The Turkish lira (TRY) pair broke an ascending support line from June 11 the previous day before trading in a small range surrounding 8.7000.

Not only the pair’s trend line breakdown but bearish MACD also favors sellers to confirm the bearish chart pattern, namely double top.

However, 100-SMA around 8.6175 acts as the tough nut to crack for the USD/TRY bears before directing them towards the monthly low of 8.2775. During the fall, the mid-June tops near 8.5900 may entertain the sellers.

Alternatively, corrective pullback needs to cross the previous support line, near 8.7400, to recall the buyers.

Even so, the monthly high, also the record top, close to the 8.8000 psychological magnet, will be a tough challenge for the USD/TRY bulls ahead of refreshing the all-time high towards the 9.0000 round figure.

Overall, USD/TRY seems to tease the bears even when bulls aren’t out of the woods.

USD/TRY four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD treads water above 1.1850 amid thin trading

EUR/USD stays defensive but holds 1.1850 amid quiet markets in the European hours on Monday.  The US Dollar is struggling for direction due to thin liquidity conditions as US markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day. 

GBP/USD flat lines as traders await key UK and US macro data

GBP/USD kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range near 1.365 in Monday's European trading. The mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important releases from the UK and the US.

Gold sticks to intraday losses; lacks follow-through

Gold remains depressed through the early European session on Monday, though it has managed to rebound from the daily trough and currently trades around the $5,000 psychological mark. Moreover, a combination of supporting factors warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders, and before positioning for deeper losses.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate within key ranges as selling pressure eases

Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have been trading sideways within key ranges following the massive correction. Meanwhile, XRP recovers slightly, breaking above the key resistance zone. The top three cryptocurrencies hint at a potential short-term recovery, with momentum indicators showing fading bearish signs.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.