USD/NOK remains steady as cautious remarks by Fed officials underpin the USD

USD/NOK registers a slight uptick in Monday's session, settling at 10.693, with buyers making measured strides.
With the Fed displaying resistance against premature easing, the USD finds solid support.
Markets will look for further clues on the Fed’s stance on Wednesday’s FOMC minutes.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

The USD/NOK pair is trading with mild gains, with the USD holding its ground against its peers. The Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to send cautious messages about future policy decisions, causing traders to wait for the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes scheduled for Wednesday to gain further insights into the bank's stance.

The Fed's unified voice cautioning on easing, despite a softening in recent data, remains one of the influential factors of the pair which is limiting the downside of the pair. The views are aligned with the market bets of a 10% possibility of a rate cut in June which rises to 30% and 80% in July and September according to the CME FedWatch tool.

On the data front, the economic calendar remained empty on Monday, and the week’s highlights include the FOMC minutes from May’s meeting on Wednesday, S&P PMI readings from May on Thursday, and Durable Goods figures from April on Friday.

USD/NOK technical analysis

Examining the daily graph, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) resides within negative territory, increasing slightly to 43, indicating a sluggish recovery from a negative trend. Concurrently, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reveals a flat tendency with persistent red bars, suggesting that negative momentum is still prevalent among investors.

USD/NOK daily chart

From the broader perspective, the USD/NOK is at a critical juncture, positioned below the 20 and 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) suggesting a negative outlook. Still, the losses will be limited if the pair holds above the 100-day average at 10.652.

USD/NOK

Overview
Today last price	10.6964
Today Daily Change	0.0196
Today Daily Change %	0.18
Today daily open	10.6768

Trends
Daily SMA20	10.8962
Daily SMA50	10.815
Daily SMA100	10.6468
Daily SMA200	10.7108

Levels
Previous Daily High	10.8451
Previous Daily Low	10.6708
Previous Weekly High	10.9094
Previous Weekly Low	10.6045
Previous Monthly High	11.1373
Previous Monthly Low	10.518
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	10.7374
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	10.7785
Daily Pivot Point S1	10.6167
Daily Pivot Point S2	10.5567
Daily Pivot Point S3	10.4425
Daily Pivot Point R1	10.791
Daily Pivot Point R2	10.9052
Daily Pivot Point R3	10.9652

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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