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USD/MXN remains above 19.60, at 20-day highs after Banxico cuts interest rate

  • Mexican Peso rises modestly after rate cut, holds in negative territory about to post the lowest close in three weeks. 
  • Banxico cuts key rate by 25bsp; two members wanted a bigger cut. 

The USD/MXN pair rose at the beginning of the American session and peaked at 19.66, the highest level since September 6. Following the decision of the Bank of Mexico pulled back to 19.57 but quickly bounced back to the 19.65. 

USD/MXN signals more gains ahead 

The pair is about to post a daily close on top of the 19.60 barrier and also above the 20-day moving average for the first time since the beginning of the month. Now it could face resistance at 19.70 ahead of the stronger area of 19.80.

A decline below 19.60 would ease the bullish pressure while under 19.50 it will likely trade back in the 19.30/50 range. On the downside, 19.30 is the critical level to break to clear the way to more losses. 

Banxico cuts as expected 

As mostly expected, the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) on Thursday cut its benchmark interest by 25 basis points to 7.75% from 8%. Some analyst noted a more significant cut was possible and even two board members (out of five)  wanted a 50bps cut. 

According to the central bank, marked uncertainty persists about both upward and downward risks that could influence inflation. "It is particularly important to maintain a prudent, firm monetary policy and promote measures that encourage investment certainty”, Banxico concluded. The statement had little changes from the previous one, leaving the doors open to more cuts, but not moving into a more dovish stance. 

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price19.6218
Today Daily Change0.0520
Today Daily Change %0.27
Today daily open19.5698
 
Trends
Daily SMA2019.617
Daily SMA5019.5228
Daily SMA10019.3462
Daily SMA20019.2657
 
Levels
Previous Daily High19.6174
Previous Daily Low19.4355
Previous Weekly High19.5477
Previous Weekly Low19.3208
Previous Monthly High20.2581
Previous Monthly Low19.1148
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%19.5479
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%19.505
Daily Pivot Point S119.4644
Daily Pivot Point S219.359
Daily Pivot Point S319.2826
Daily Pivot Point R119.6463
Daily Pivot Point R219.7227
Daily Pivot Point R319.8281

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

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