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USD/MXN Price Analysis: Peso stretches recovery from 17.40 key level as US/Mexico inflation data loom

  • USD/MXN holds lower ground near intraday bottom, defends previous day’s U-turn from support-turned-resistance.
  • Clear break below 50-DMA keeps Mexican Peso buyers hopeful.
  • US CPI, Mexico Core Inflation for July eyed for clear directions.

USD/MXN bears keep the reins at the intraday low of around 17.04 during early Monday, keeping the previous day’s U-turn from the support-turned-resistance stretched from mid-May.

Adding strength to the downside bias about the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair is the quote’s clear downside break of the 50-DMA, as well as the cautious mood ahead of the inflation from Mexico and the US for July.

Even so, the bullish MACD signals and one-month-old horizontal support around the 17.00 round figure prods USD/MXN bears before giving them control.

In that case, 16.70 and the multi-month low marked in July around 16.60 will be in the spotlight.

Alternatively, the 50-DMA level of around 17.10 guards the immediate recovery of the USD/MXN pair ahead of the aforementioned support-turned-resistance, close to 17.38-40.

It should be noted that the Mexican Peso sellers remain off guard unless breaking the 100-DMA surrounding 17.55.

Above, the US and Mexican inflation data for July will be crucial to watch as the USD/MXN resumes the original downtrend. Should the scheduled data justify dovish concerns about the Fed and/or hopes of another rate hike from Banxico, the quote won’t hesitate to challenge the yearly low marked in July around 16.62.

USD/MXN: Daily chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price17.0575
Today Daily Change-0.0325
Today Daily Change %-0.19%
Today daily open17.09
 
Trends
Daily SMA2016.8961
Daily SMA5017.1098
Daily SMA10017.5603
Daily SMA20018.3153
 
Levels
Previous Daily High17.4274
Previous Daily Low17.009
Previous Weekly High17.4274
Previous Weekly Low16.6694
Previous Monthly High17.3957
Previous Monthly Low16.6258
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%17.1688
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%17.2675
Daily Pivot Point S116.9235
Daily Pivot Point S216.757
Daily Pivot Point S316.5051
Daily Pivot Point R117.3419
Daily Pivot Point R217.5938
Daily Pivot Point R317.7603

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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