|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Mexican peso recovers, still looks bearish

  • USD/MXN drops for the second day in a row, approaches short-term support.
  • Technical indicators favor the Mexican peso, but cross remains above key level.

Market optimism continues to keep the upside limited in USD/MXN. The pair peaked at 20.45 two weeks ago and then it moved in a range between 20.17 and 20.42. On Monday it is testing level under 20.17 and holding above the 200-day simple moving average.

A slide below 20.15 would likely lead to a test of 20.05, the convergence of the 20-day and 55-day SMAs. A daily close below should strengthen the Mexican peso. The next support is an uptrend line at 19.87.

If USD/MXN rebounds back above 20.20 it would likely continue to trade sideways in the range 20.17/20.42. A daily close clearly above 20.40 should expose the next resistance at 20.55.

Technical indicators show momentum and RSI favoring the Mexican peso in the short-term. Still the trends point to the upside. Signs indicate that for the time being, USD/MXN remains unable to move significantly away from 20.00.

USD/MXN daily chart

USDMXN

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price20.1363
Today Daily Change-0.0619
Today Daily Change %-0.31
Today daily open20.1982
 
Trends
Daily SMA2020.0735
Daily SMA5020.0218
Daily SMA10020.0054
Daily SMA20020.1163
 
Levels
Previous Daily High20.4288
Previous Daily Low20.1697
Previous Weekly High20.4455
Previous Weekly Low20.1697
Previous Monthly High20.2515
Previous Monthly Low19.7458
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%20.2687
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%20.3298
Daily Pivot Point S120.1023
Daily Pivot Point S220.0065
Daily Pivot Point S319.8432
Daily Pivot Point R120.3614
Daily Pivot Point R220.5247
Daily Pivot Point R320.6206

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles aroound 1.1800 as USD stabilizes

EUR/USD stays defensive around 1.1800 in the European session on Thursday. The US Dollar stabilizes, following the recent decline led by tariff uncertainty, capping the pair's upside. All eyes now remain on the US-Iran nuclear talks after ECB President Lagarde's testimony fails to impress Euro bulls. 

GBP/USD drops toward 1.3500 as USD finds fresh demand

GBP/USD falls back toward 1.3500 in the European session on Thursday, snapping its recovery momentum. The pair loses traction as the US Dollar finds fresh demand, as markets turn cautious ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks. The US trade policy uncertainty also remains a drag on risk sentiment. 

Gold clings to gains amid sustained safe-haven flows ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold sticks to its modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session on Thursday, with bulls still awaiting a sustained move and acceptance above the $5,200 mark before placing fresh bets. 

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty. 

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.