USD/MXN Price Analysis: Bearish outlook, testing 2022 lows


  • Mexican peso rises versus the US dollar for the third day in a row.
  • USD/MXN stays bearish, looking at 2022 lows near 19.70.
  • The 19.90 area is not the immediate resistance.

The USD/MXN keeps a bearish tone and continues to move lower at a slow pace, as equity markets recover. A few minutes ago, the Bank of Mexico released the minutes of its latest board meeting. The central bank could act more forcefully to curb inflation according to the document. Members noted inflation expectations have increased significantly.

The move lower in USD/MXN faces a strong barrier around 19.70/75 that contains many horizontal support levels and the 2022 low. A consolidation below should open the doors to a slide to the next critical support at 19.50/55.

If the pair remains above 19.75, the odds of a rebound will increase. A recovery to 19.90 should be seen as a modest correction, keeping the bearish tone intact. Above, at 20.10 awaits the 20-day Simple Moving Average. A daily close above should negate the bearish short-term outlook.

Technical indicators continue to favor the downside in USD/MXN. The RSI is still above 30, but it is flattening; Momentum remains below 100, now again pointing south.

USD/MXN daily chart

usdmxn

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price 19.7682
Today Daily Change -0.0665
Today Daily Change % -0.34
Today daily open 19.8347
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 20.1427
Daily SMA50 20.1066
Daily SMA100 20.3421
Daily SMA200 20.442
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 19.9288
Previous Daily Low 19.789
Previous Weekly High 20.1838
Previous Weekly Low 19.8281
Previous Monthly High 20.6382
Previous Monthly Low 19.7269
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 19.8425
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 19.8754
Daily Pivot Point S1 19.7729
Daily Pivot Point S2 19.7111
Daily Pivot Point S3 19.6331
Daily Pivot Point R1 19.9127
Daily Pivot Point R2 19.9907
Daily Pivot Point R3 20.0525

 

 

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