USD longs edged lower, short EUR pushed higher - Rabobank


According to the CFTC’s IMM net speculators’ positioning as at April 23, 2019, USD longs edged lower for a second consecutive week but remain essentially consolidative.  

Key Quotes

“Having dropped lower in the November/December period in response to a more dovish outlook for the Fed, USD longs then consolidated for a lengthy period. Another leg lower occurred in mid-March.”

“Short EUR positions pushed to their highest levels since December 2016. Shorts have been trending higher since the start of the year reflecting the loss of confidence in the outlook for the Eurozone economy and expectations for a more dovish ECB.”

“Unsurprisingly, given the pressure on GBP in the spot market last Tuesday, net positions have dropped back into negative ground having spent just one week above the zero level.”

“Net JPY short positions have continued to trend higher suggesting an improvement in risk appetite.”

“CHF net shorts increased for a third consecutive week in line with the trend that has existed since mid-January – not too different from the movement in the JPY.”

“CAD net shorts dropped back following the previous week’s surge that followed the dovish headlines that accompanied the BoC policy meeting. Oil prices are also in view.”

“AUD net shorts pushed higher again reflecting the dovish implications of the softer than expected Australian Q1 CPI inflation data.”

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