|

USD/JPY: Yen dips as Japan's inflation hovers at 2-year lows

  • USD/JPY is mildly bid in Asia on rising dovish BOJ expectation.
  • Japan's core inflation remained at two-year lows in July.
  • Sell-off likely if Federal Reserve's Powell sets the stage for a September rate cut.

The Japanese Yen is losing altitude in Asia, possibly due to dismal Japanese inflation data and the resulting rise in the dovish Bank of Japan (BOJ) expectations.

Japan's core consumer price index (CPI), which includes oil products but excludes fresh food prices, rose 0.6% in July year-on-year, as expected, matching the previous month's gain, which was the slowest pace since July 2017. Back then, the core CPI had climbed by 0.5%.

The data will likely add to the pressure on the BOJ to ease further. The Yen has already come under pressure in the last few minutes – USD/JPY is currently trading at 106.50, having hit a low of 106.38 earlier today.

The central bank last month expressed willingness to expand stimulus if a global slowdown derails the progress toward the 2% inflation target.

Focus on Fed's Powell

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium later today will be closely watched by the markets.

Investors believe Powell will use the event to set the stage for a 25 basis point rate cut in September.

The USD/JPY pair may find acceptance below 106.00 if Powell sounds dovish, making a U-turn from his statement at the July 31 meeting that the policy is not on a preset easing path.

On the other hand, if Powell remains non-committal, then the US Dollar will likely rise across the board.

Pivot levels

    1. R3 107.05
    2. R2 106.85
    3. R1 106.65
  1. PP 106.45
    1. S1 106.24
    2. S2 106.04
    3. S3 105.84

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD shifts its attention to 1.1900 and above

EUR/USD has shaken off Tuesday’s dip, pushing back beyond the 1.1800 mark amid decent gains as  Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The rebound is largely driven by a modest pullback in the US Dollar, as markets digest the aftermath of President Trump’s SOTU speech and continue to monitor trade-related headlines and signals from the White House.
 

GBP/USD challenges multi-day highs near 1.3530

GBP/USD leaves behind the previous day’s decline and regains fresh upside traction on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.3500 barrier in a context of a modest decline in the Greenback and a generalised improved mood in the risk-linked space. Meanwhile, the US tariff narrative continues to dictate the mood among market participants after Presidet Trump’s SOTU speech failed to surprise markets.

Gold remains bid and close to $5,200

Gold buyers are returning to the fold on Wednesday, targeting the $5,200 area and possibly beyond, after Tuesday’s corrective dip from monthly highs. The rebound in the precious metal comes as the US Dollar loses traction, with Trump’s SOTU speech offering little fresh direction and AI-related nerves continuing to ease.

UK financial watchdog advances stablecoin oversight as four firms pilot issuance

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the United Kingdom (UK) is advancing toward the final stablecoin regulatory framework with a pilot program involving four companies, including Monee, Financial Technologies ReStabilise, Revolut and VVTX.

Nvidia earnings to influence AI trade and broader market sentiment

For the last three years, Nvidia has been the engine of the AI boom, and now Wall Street is watching to see whether that momentum can keep going. High-growth stocks have been struggling to maintain their bullish trend in 2026.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.