|

USD/JPY twisting on the north side of 147.50, Japan CPI ticks lower to 3.2%

  • USD/JPY strung up the middle for Friday after Thursday's reversal flows.
  • Japan's National CPI headline figure came in slightly below previous print, inflation cools slightly.
  • The Core Japanese National CPI stayed on the higher end than markets expected, steady for the annualized period into August.

The USD/JPY is holding steady with a bullish lean for early Friday trading, teasing into the 147.650 region as the Japanese Yen (JPY) eases on softly-declining national inflation figures.

Markets initially expected national Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for Japan to step back slightly, with the core CPI (inflation less food price changes) printing in line with the previous figure of 3.1%, beating the median forecast of a flat 3%.

Read more:

Japan inflation: National CPI eases to 3.2% YoY in August vs. 3.3% prior

Friday's economic calendar isn't finished with the USD/JPY yet, with the Bank of Japan (BoJ) expected to give their latest inflation rate call. The BoJ is broadly forecast to keep their negative rate regime steady at -0.1%, but abnormally hawkish comments from BoJ officials recently have ramped up expectations of a potential policy adjustment from Japan's central bank.

Read more: 

Japan Interest Rate Decision Preview: Bank of Japan expected to stand pat despite Ueda hawkish hint

USD/JPY technical outlook

The USD/JPY pair is seeking higher territory early in Friday trading, probing for firmer ground above 147.50.

The pair got knocked off an up-and-down pattern through the midweek, peaking near 148.50 before checking the plumbing at 147.30.

The USD/JPY is now looking to stage a slow and steady recovery into the midrange after catching support from the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA), and is facing descending technical resistance from the 100-hour SMA just north of 147.80.

On the daily charts, the USD/JPY is enjoying a consistent bullish trend, rising steadily from early 2023's lows near the 128.00 major handle, with prices seeing steady support from a bullish 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 146.00.

USD/JPY hourly chart

USD/JPY technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price147.61
Today Daily Change-0.74
Today Daily Change %-0.50
Today daily open148.35
 
Trends
Daily SMA20147
Daily SMA50144.35
Daily SMA100142.17
Daily SMA200137.53
 
Levels
Previous Daily High148.36
Previous Daily Low147.48
Previous Weekly High147.95
Previous Weekly Low145.9
Previous Monthly High147.38
Previous Monthly Low141.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%148.02
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%147.81
Daily Pivot Point S1147.76
Daily Pivot Point S2147.17
Daily Pivot Point S3146.87
Daily Pivot Point R1148.65
Daily Pivot Point R2148.95
Daily Pivot Point R3149.53

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.