|

USD/JPY trades with modest gains, lacks follow-through

  • The risk-on mood weighed on the safe-haven JPY and assisted USD/JPY to gain some positive traction.
  • Dovish Fed expectations, sliding US bond yields kept the USD bulls on the defensive and capped gains.

The USD/JPY pair traded with a mild positive bias heading into the European session, albeit lacked follow-through buying and remained below mid-109.00s.

Following the previous day's dramatic turnaround from weekly tops, the pair managed to regain some positive traction on the last trading day of the week. The uptick was supported by the underlying bullish sentiment in the financial markets, which tends to undermine demand for the safe-haven Japanese yen. That said, a combination of factors kept a lid on any meaningful upside for the USD/JPY pair.

Despite Thursday's hotter-than-expected US CPI print, investors seem aligned with the Fed's narrative that any spike in inflation is likely to be transitory. This means that the Fed will retain its ultra-lose policy stance for a longer period. Apart from this, a further decline in the US Treasury bond yields undermined the US dollar and held bulls from placing any fresh bets around the USD/JPY pair.

Hence, the market focus will now shift to the upcoming FOMC monetary policy meeting on June 15-16. In the meantime, the US bond yields will continue to play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics. Traders will further take cues from the broader market risk sentiment and the release of the Preliminary Michigan US Consumer Sentiment index, due later during the early North American session, for some short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price109.41
Today Daily Change0.08
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open109.33
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.34
Daily SMA50109.14
Daily SMA100108
Daily SMA200106.27
 
Levels
Previous Daily High109.8
Previous Daily Low109.31
Previous Weekly High110.33
Previous Weekly Low109.33
Previous Monthly High110.2
Previous Monthly Low108.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%109.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.61
Daily Pivot Point S1109.16
Daily Pivot Point S2108.99
Daily Pivot Point S3108.67
Daily Pivot Point R1109.65
Daily Pivot Point R2109.96
Daily Pivot Point R3110.13

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD treads water above 1.1850 amid thin trading

EUR/USD stays defensive but holds 1.1850 amid quiet markets in the European hours on Monday.  The US Dollar is struggling for direction due to thin liquidity conditions as US markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day. 

GBP/USD flat lines as traders await key UK and US macro data

GBP/USD kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range near 1.365 in Monday's European trading. The mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important releases from the UK and the US.

Gold sticks to intraday losses; lacks follow-through

Gold remains depressed through the early European session on Monday, though it has managed to rebound from the daily trough and currently trades around the $5,000 psychological mark. Moreover, a combination of supporting factors warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders, and before positioning for deeper losses.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate within key ranges as selling pressure eases

Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have been trading sideways within key ranges following the massive correction. Meanwhile, XRP recovers slightly, breaking above the key resistance zone. The top three cryptocurrencies hint at a potential short-term recovery, with momentum indicators showing fading bearish signs.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.