USD/JPY Technical Analysis: 38.2% Fib retracement is the level to beat for the bears

The USD/JPY pair has bounced off from 112.96 (38.2 percent Fib of 110.38/114.55) for the second day, establishing the Fibonacci retracement as a key level to beat for the bears.
A daily close below 112.96 would bolster the bearish setup, as indicated by the descending 5-day and 10-day exponential moving averages (MAs), the bearish crossover on the MACD, and would allow a deeper drop to 112.12 (50-day EMA).
On the higher side, a move above yesterday's high of 113.94 (previous day's high) would validate the defense of 38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement and could yield re-test of 114.00.

Omkar Godbole FXStreet Contributor

Daily Chart

Spot Rate: 113.12

Daily High: 113.23

Daily Low: 112.93

Trend: Bearish below 38.2 percent Fib

Resistance

R1: 113.23 (daily high)

R2: 113.94 (previous day's high)

R3: 114.55 (recent high)

Support

S1: 112.96 (38.2 percent Fibonacci retracement)

S2: 112.46 (50 percent Fib R of 110.38/114.55)

S3: 112.12 (50-day EMA)

Author

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

USD/JPY keeps range above 160.00 ahead of BoJ press conference

USD/JPY holds losses and maintains its range above 160.00 on Tuesday, following the release of the Bank of Japan monetary policy decision. The BoJ hiked the key rate by 25 bps to 1% as widely, providing little to no impetus to the Japanese Yen. The focus is now on the BoJ Deputy Governor Uchida's press conference.

AUD/USD sticks to red near 0.7050 as RBA's Bullock speaks

AUD/USD remains in the red near 0.7050 following the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) expected decision to pause its rate hike cycle. The pair now weighs RBA Governor Bullock's press conference for a fresh trading impetus.

$4,400: Gold sellers set to retain control whilst below this level; focus shifts to Fed

Gold holds a pullback from six-day highs of $4,369 as buyers take a breather early Tuesday. The US Dollar looks to fill Monday’s bearish opening gap as markets temper Iran deal optimism. Technically, Gold remains exposed to downside risks whilst below the 21-day SMA near $4,400.

Bitcoin weighs BOJ rate hike to 1%, Uniswap and LayerZero sustain

Bitcoin is holding above $65,000 at press time on Tuesday as the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raises its interest rate to 1%, shifting focus away from the US-Iran peace agreement. Uniswap (UNI) and LayerZero edge lower on Tuesday but outpace the broader market over the last 24 hours as the retail sentiment recovers.

Kevin Warsh opens first Fed meeting June 16 with rate hold expected

Kevin Warsh was confirmed by the Senate in a 54-45 vote and sworn in as Federal Reserve Chair on 22 May 2026. The ceremony took place at the White House, with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administering the oath. The FOMC meeting on 16 and 17 June is his first as chair. The June meeting is also a quarterly projection meeting.

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.