|

USD/JPY: Takaichi pressure fuels renewed Yen selling – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman notes that the Japanese Yen has underperformed, pushing USD/JPY back above 156.00. Media reports that Prime Minister Takaichi is pressuring the BoJ to slow further rate hikes, alongside signals that Japan may be less concerned about Yen weakness, are seen dampening expectations for faster BoJ tightening and encouraging additional Yen selling.

BoJ hike expectations face political headwinds

"The yen has underperformed overnight resulting in USD/JPY rising back above the 156.00-level as it moves further above the low of 152.27 from 12th February."

"The renewed yen sell-off overnight has been triggered by media reports that Prime Minister Takaichi is putting pressure on the BoJ to slowdown plans for further rate hikes."

"The Mainichi report will put a dampener on market expectations for the BoJ to speed up the pace of tightening by raising rates as soon as in April."

"There are currently around 15bps of hikes priced in for April which could be scaled back and encourage further yen selling."

"The report could also create the impression that Japan is less concerned by yen weakness reinforcing selling overnight alongside speculation that the government will pressure the BoJ to slowdown policy tightening."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.