|

USD/JPY: stuck around 107 the figure, quiet start, lacking impetus, but . . .

  • USD/JPY: stuck below key resistance on 107 handle.
  • USD/JPY: markets move on from geopolitical risk, for now. 

USD/JPY is not showing its hand in the open of Tokyo, albeit without much life out there and with hourly smas capping on the 107 handle. Currently, USD/JPY is trading at 107.06, down -0.06% on the day, having posted a daily high at 107.18 and low at 107.00.

USD/JPY closed at 107.11 in NY on what was a much calmer trade on Monday in both the European and US sessions. On Wall Street, the focus was on corporate earnings with less angst around Syria. The yen was better bid in North America on a weaker dollar and risk-on switch up that weighed on the greenback. DXY was trading between 89.389 - 89.850, -0.41% on the day for the close. The US 10yr treasury yield initially rose to 2.86%,  a one-month high, to then drop in NY to 2.83%. The 2yr yields continued in their multi-year uptrend to 2.39% and to the highest since 2008. The Fed fund futures yields are pricing in the next rate hike in June around an 85% chance. 

Eyes on the week ahead

Looking ahead, we have Abe's and Trump's meeting on Tuesday while Japan will offer Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization data, seen improving from its previous readings. Stocks will also be a driver with earnings season kicking off this week. 

  • Wall Street: risk on with earnings, benchmarks 1% higher around 50-D SMA
  • Wall Street stocks push higher and shrug-off Syria airstrike, focus on earnings, stellar Bank of America

USD/JPY levels

Valeria Bednarik, chief analyst at FXStreet explained that  the pair is "gaining bearish traction" in the short term:

"In the 4 hours chart, technical indicators entered negative territory with sharp bearish slopes, although given that the 100 and 200 SMA stand in the 106.30/60 region, the downside potential is limited. The pair would need to break below 106.20 to actually enter a bearish move, while steady gains beyond 108.00 should indicate further gains ahead."

" Jim Langlands, FX Charts, noted that the daily momentum indicators retain a constructive bias and the weeklies are also now turning higher but technically, he says, "buying dips still seems to be the plan."

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold reclaims $5,000 and above

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs just above the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.