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USD/JPY struggles near daily lows, around 103.75-70 region

  • USD/JPY witnessed some selling on Monday amid reviving demand for the safe-haven JPY.
  • Concerns about the ever-increasing COVID-19 cases weighing on the global risk sentiment.
  • Retreating US bond yields kept the USD bulls on the defensive and added to the selling bias.

The USD/JPY pair held on to its modest intraday losses through the early European session and was last seen hovering near daily lows, around the 103.70 region.

The pair failed to capitalize on its early uptick, instead met with some fresh supply in the vicinity of the 104.00 mark and might now be headed to the lower end of a four-day-old trading range. The prevalent cautious mood benefitted the safe-haven Japanese yen and was seen as a key factor exerting pressure on the USD/JPY pair.

Investors remain concerns about the potential economic fallout from the continuous surge in the number of new COVID-19 cases. The worries were further fueled by Friday's disappointing US monthly Retail Sales, which, to a larger extent, offset better-than-anticipated Chinese GDP growth figures for the fourth quarter of 2020.

Meanwhile, the risk-off mood led to some follow-through pullback in the US Treasury bond yields. This, in turn, kept the US dollar bulls on the defensive and further contributed to a mildly offered tone surrounding the USD/JPY pair. That said, the lack of any strong follow-through selling warrants some caution for bearish traders.

There isn't any major market-moving economic data due for release on Monday, leaving the pair at the mercy of the broader market risk sentiment. This further makes it prudent to wait for a sustained weakness below last week's swing lows, around mid-103.00s, before positioning for any further depreciating move.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price103.74
Today Daily Change-0.13
Today Daily Change %-0.13
Today daily open103.87
 
Trends
Daily SMA20103.55
Daily SMA50103.97
Daily SMA100104.63
Daily SMA200105.81
 
Levels
Previous Daily High103.9
Previous Daily Low103.62
Previous Weekly High104.4
Previous Weekly Low103.53
Previous Monthly High104.75
Previous Monthly Low102.88
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%103.79
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%103.72
Daily Pivot Point S1103.69
Daily Pivot Point S2103.51
Daily Pivot Point S3103.41
Daily Pivot Point R1103.97
Daily Pivot Point R2104.07
Daily Pivot Point R3104.25

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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