|

USD/JPY: Strong recovery looks to have run its course for now – Credit Suisse

USD/JPY is expected to remain above the “neckline” to its base and 200-Day Moving Average (DMA) at 137.51/136.62, analysts at Credit Suisse report.

A close below 136.62 would clear the way for further weakness

The strong recovery in USD/JPY looks to have run its course for now and we look for further near-term weakness in what we look to be a potentially lengthy ranging phase.

Key support stays seen at the recent low, the ‘neckline’ to the December/May base and 200-DMA at 137.51/136.62, which we continue to look to prove a solid floor.

Big picture, we would look for a consolidation phase to be followed by an eventual move back to 145.00/12. An eventual break above here can see the ‘measured base objective’ at 148.57.

A close below 136.62 though would suggest we have seen a more important peak, clearing the way for further weakness with support seen next at the 50% retracement of the 2023 rally at 136.15 and then more importantly at 133.04/133.50 – the 61.8% retracement, uptrend from January and May lows.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.