|

USD/JPY steady as mixed US data, BoJ hawkishness shape sentiment

  • The US Dollar stabilizes after a series of mixed macroeconomic indicators in the United States.
  • Activity and employment data keep the Federal Reserve in a cautious stance.
  • The Japanese Yen slightly outperforms, supported by weaker risk appetite and a more restrictive bias from the BoJ.

USD/JPY trades around 156.60 on Wednesday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to extend its rebound following mixed US economic releases, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) benefits from a more defensive tone in Asian markets.

In the United States (US), the latest activity indicators send mixed signals. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose to 54.4 in December, up sharply from 52.6 previously and above market expectations, pointing to improved momentum in the services sector. New Orders also increased, reinforcing the view of firmer demand toward year-end. By contrast, the Prices Paid Index eased to 64.3, suggesting some moderation in inflationary pressures, while the Employment Index edged up only modestly to 52.

The US labor market continues to present a more nuanced picture. Job Openings from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) fell to 7.14 million in November, below expectations, confirming a gradual cooling in labor market conditions. At the same time, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute report showed private-sector payrolls rising by just 41,000 in December, weaker than forecast, despite a rebound after November’s contraction. Taken together, these data support a cautious approach by the Federal Reserve (Fed), with investors continuing to price in a very gradual path of rate cuts in 2026.

Against this backdrop, the US Dollar finds only limited short-term support. The US Dollar Index (DXY) holds around 98.70 after rebounding from daily lows, reflecting mainly position adjustments following the macroeconomic releases rather than a fundamental shift in trend.

On the Japanese side, the JPY shows modest outperformance against the Greenback. In Asia, the currency benefits from a deterioration in risk appetite, fueled by rising diplomatic tensions between China and Japan after Beijing announced restrictions on exports of dual-use goods to Japan. This geopolitical escalation between two major Asian economies has renewed demand for safe-haven assets.

Additional support for the Japanese Yen comes from recent remarks by Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuho Ueda, who reiterated the institution’s commitment to further monetary tightening. Although uncertainty remains regarding the exact timing of the next rate hike, this hawkish bias continues to provide structural support to the Japanese currency. In this environment, USD/JPY remains confined to a broad trading range, as markets balance a cautious US monetary policy outlook with factors favoring the Japanese Yen.

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.00%0.22%-0.02%0.16%0.16%0.05%0.16%
EUR-0.00%0.22%-0.02%0.15%0.15%0.05%0.16%
GBP-0.22%-0.22%-0.23%-0.06%-0.07%-0.17%-0.06%
JPY0.02%0.02%0.23%0.17%0.18%0.08%0.17%
CAD-0.16%-0.15%0.06%-0.17%0.00%-0.09%0.00%
AUD-0.16%-0.15%0.07%-0.18%-0.01%-0.10%-0.03%
NZD-0.05%-0.05%0.17%-0.08%0.09%0.10%0.10%
CHF-0.16%-0.16%0.06%-0.17%-0.00%0.03%-0.10%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases to four-week lows near 1.1650

EUR/USD now loses further momentum and recedes to multi-week lows near 1.1650 on Thursday. The pair’s extra retracement comes on the back of the persistent bid tone in the US Dollar as investors continue to gear up for the release of the December NFP figures on Friday.

GBP/USD: Further weakness could challenge 1.3400

GBP/USD remains under unabated selling pressure on Thursday, slipping to fresh three-day lows around 1.3415 in response to further improvement in the sentiment surrounding the Greenback ahead of Friday’s key NFP data.

Gold bounces back to its comfort zone

Gold now manages to regain some balance, fading its earlier pullback to the proximity of the $4,400 region per troy ounce and reshifting its attention to the $4,450 zone on Thursday. The yellow metal’s move lower comes in response to a better tone in the Greenback and the generalised recovery in US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend decline as ETF outflows pose headwinds

Bitcoin struggles with selling pressure as institutional investor sentiment deteriorates. Ethereum hangs onto the 50-day EMA lifeline amid growing overhead risks and the resumption of ETF outflows.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

XRP slides as institutional and retail demand falters

Ripple is trading down for the third consecutive day on Thursday amid escalating volatility in the cyrptocurrency market. After peaking at $2.41 on Tuesday, its highest print since November 14 amid the early-year rally, XRP has quickly ran into aggressive profit-taking.