|

USD/JPY steady around 115.50 as financial markets head into the weekend

  • The USD/JPY gains 0.45% in the week amid an improved market mood.
  • Reports from Russia said that Vladimir Putin is open to sending a delegation to Minsk for talks with Ukraine.
  • USD/JPY Technical Outlook: Upward biased, but a daily close above 115.49, would open the door for a renewed challenge of YTD high at 116.35.

The USD/JPY is set to finish the week with gains, climbing 0.45%, amid a risk-on market mood, portrayed by global equities, while in the FX space, high-beta currencies lead. Newswires reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin is ready to hold talks with the government in Ukraine following the Russian invasion. The USD/JPY barely advances 0.02%, trading at 115.57 at press time.

Ukraine – Russia conflict update

Although Russia’s attacks continue for the third consecutive day, Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin “reportedly” is open to sending a delegation to Minsk for talks with Ukraine. The headline has kept investors calmed, as safe-haven peers recorded gains for two consecutive days. However, as reported by Bloomberg, it is only a matter of time before Russia’s forces would take control of Kyiv. That said, uncertainty keeps surrounding the Ukraine – Russia conflict, though caution is warranted when trading the financial markets.

In the meantime, the US economic docket featured Durable Goods Orders for January, which came at 1.6% m/m, higher than 0.6%  estimated. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation gauge, the PCE, rose to 6.1% y/y, higher than the 5.8% foreseen, while Core PCE rose to 5.2%, more than the 5.1% expected. Additionally, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final for February increased to 62.8, better than the 61.7

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY daily chart depicts the pair as upward biased. The daily moving averages (DMAs) reside below the spot price, with a bullish slope, but to further cement its bias, it would require a daily close above the February 24 close at 115.49.

If that scenario plays out, the USD/JPY first resistance would be February 15 daily high at 115.87. A decisive break would send USD/JPY towards 116.00, followed by the YTD high at 116.35.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price115.57
Today Daily Change-0.02
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open115.59
 
Trends
Daily SMA20115.21
Daily SMA50114.9
Daily SMA100114.35
Daily SMA200112.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High115.7
Previous Daily Low114.41
Previous Weekly High115.88
Previous Weekly Low114.79
Previous Monthly High116.35
Previous Monthly Low113.47
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%115.2
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%114.9
Daily Pivot Point S1114.77
Daily Pivot Point S2113.94
Daily Pivot Point S3113.48
Daily Pivot Point R1116.06
Daily Pivot Point R2116.52
Daily Pivot Point R3117.34

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains in two-day highs around 1.3260

GBP/USD adds to Friday’s bounce, gathering fresh traction and flirting with the 1.3270 zone on Monday, or two-day tops. Cable’s decent advance comes despite the move higher in the Greenback and investors’ assessing of UK PM K. Starmer's resignation.

EUR/USD remains close to three-month lows near 1.1450

EUR/USD sets aside Friday’s bounce and trades with modest losses in the mid-1.1400s at the beginning of the week. The continuation of the bid bias in the US Dollar continues to weigh on spot despite improving sentiment from the geopolitical front.

Gold bounces off lows, looks to surpass $4,200

Gold regains composure and leaves behind three-consecutive daily declines on Monday, looking to regain the area above the $4,200 mark per troy ounce. Reports of progress in the latest round of US-Iran talks are helping the precious metal maintain its footing at the start of the week, although the stronger Greenback seems to limit the upside potential for now.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
Is Shiba Inu dead or just in a crisis? The data behind SHIB's 95% crash

SHIB, the dog-themed meme coin that became one of the biggest success stories in crypto and turned early buyers into crypto millionaires, is facing tough times. Its price has fallen more than 32% so far this year, and it is down 95% from its all-time high in 2021. Is SHIB simply another fading meme coin, or is the market overlooking a possible recovery story?

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.