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USD/JPY steadies near 107.50 ahead of US PMI data

  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield erases more than 2% on Monday.
  • Greenback gathers strength to limit the pair's losses.
  • Markit Composite PMI in the US is expected to slump below 50 in September.

The USD/JPY pair posted modest losses last week and pushed lower on Monday to touch its lowest level in nearly two weeks at 107.32. Following that drop, the pair staged a rebound and was last seen trading at 107.46, losing 0.09% on a daily basis.

Markets turn risk-averse on Monday

The dismal market sentiment at the start of the week seems to be ramping up the demand for the safe-haven JPY and putting the pair under bearish pressure. 

The uncertainty surrounding the US-China trade conflict following reports of Chinese delegation calling off the planned visit to US fam states last Friday keeps investors away from risky assets. Moreover, heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East seem to be hurting the risk sentiment as well. Reflecting the dismal mood, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield is now losing 2.8% on a daily basis and major European equity indexes are suffering heavy losses. 

On the other hand, with the disappointing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures from the eurozone and Germany pushing participants away from the shared currency, the Greenback finds demand on Monday and helps the pair find support. 

Ahead of the IHS Markit's preliminary Manufacturing, Services and Composite PMI releases for September, the US Dollar Index is adding 0.26% on the day at 98.72. Markets expect the Composite PMI to drop below the 50 handle. If that reading were to disappoint, concerns over a recession in the US could trigger more risk-off flows and cause the pair to extend its daily losses.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price107.43
Today Daily Change-0.13
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open107.56
 
Trends
Daily SMA20107.11
Daily SMA50107.11
Daily SMA100107.95
Daily SMA200109.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High108.09
Previous Daily Low107.53
Previous Weekly High108.48
Previous Weekly Low107.48
Previous Monthly High109.32
Previous Monthly Low104.45
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%107.74
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%107.87
Daily Pivot Point S1107.36
Daily Pivot Point S2107.16
Daily Pivot Point S3106.8
Daily Pivot Point R1107.92
Daily Pivot Point R2108.28
Daily Pivot Point R3108.48

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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