|

USD/JPY stabilizes as Japanese coalition collapses – BBH

USD/JPY stabilized after rallying to an 8-month high near 153.27. Japan’s ruling coalition fell apart today after Komeito, the junior partner to Sanae Takaichi’s Liberal Democratic Party, indicated it planned to pull out of the partnership. The loss of Komeito support mean Takaichi will face significant constraints to push ahead with her fiscally profligate pledges, BBH FX analysts report.

USD/JPY rally outpaces previous BOJ FX interventions

"Moreover, Japan’s Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato warned against 'one-sided and rapid movements' in the yen and reiterated 'The government will carefully assess any excessive or disorderly movements in the market.' The comment suggests USD/JPY is nearing levels that could trigger official intervention, under 155.00."

"USD/JPY is up 4.6% in 10 days, which puts it ahead of the pace seen in the last two Bank of Japan (BOJ) FX interventions. The BOJ bought ¥9.79 trillion from April 26, 2024 through May 29, 2024 after USD/JPY rallied by 5.7% in 20 days. And, the BOJ bought ¥5.53 trillion from June 27, 2024 through July 29, 2024 after USD/JPY rallied by 4.2% in 30 days."

"Meanwhile, the growing disconnect between USD/JPY and US-Japan bond yields spreads points to heightened risk of a sharp USD/JPY pullback. Bottom line: we recommend investors short USD/JPY at current levels (152.90) with a stop loss at 154.00 and an initial target of 148.00."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.