|

USD/JPY slumps below 107 on dismal US data, risk aversion

  • CB Consumer Confidence Index drops to 121.5 in June.
  • New home sales contract by 7.8% on a monthly basis in May.
  • 10-year US T-bond yields drops below critical 2% mark.

The USD/JPY pair came under a renewed selling pressure in the American session and dropped below the 107 mark amid the ongoing broad USD weakness and the stronger demand for safe havens. As of writing, the pair was trading at 106.92, losing 0.33% on a daily basis. 

Today's data from the U.S. revealed that the consumer confidence continued to weaken in June with the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index dropping to its lowest level since 2017 at 121.5 from 131.1 in May to make it difficult for the US Dollar Index to stage a recovery despite the extreme oversold conditions. Other data from the U.S. showed that new home sales declined by 7.8% in May to miss the market expectation of +1.9% and the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index retreated to 3 in June from 5 in May.

Now markets are waiting for FOMC Chairman Powell to deliver his remarks on the monetary policy later in the session. Earlier today, NY Fed President Williams didn't touch on the policy outlook in his prepared remarks. At the moment, the US Dollar Index is unchanged on the day at 96.

Meanwhile, the fact that the 10-year US Treasury Bond yield dropped below the critical 2% mark keeps the bearish pressure on the strongly correlated USD/JPY pair intact. Just recently, U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted out that any attack by Iran on anything American will be met with "great and overwhelming force," suggesting that the tension in the Middle East is unlikely to ease anytime soon.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price106.96
Today Daily Change-0.34
Today Daily Change %-0.32
Today daily open107.3
 
Trends
Daily SMA20108.38
Daily SMA50109.81
Daily SMA100110.41
Daily SMA200111.13
Levels
Previous Daily High107.54
Previous Daily Low107.24
Previous Weekly High108.73
Previous Weekly Low107.04
Previous Monthly High111.71
Previous Monthly Low108.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%107.36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%107.43
Daily Pivot Point S1107.18
Daily Pivot Point S2107.07
Daily Pivot Point S3106.89
Daily Pivot Point R1107.48
Daily Pivot Point R2107.65
Daily Pivot Point R3107.77

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD finds fresh demand

EUR/USD eases toward the 1.1700 mark in Europe trading on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of the Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold stays weak below $4,350 as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold holds the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and stays in the red below $4,350 in the European session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling inflationary pressures, but the US Dollar seems resilient amid a fresh bout of short-covering.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.