|

USD/JPY slips below 113.00 handle, fresh 1-week lows

   •  A sharp fall in the US bond yields prompts some aggressive selling on Tuesday.
   •  A follow-through USD selling pressure adds to the ongoing bearish momentum. 
   •  The global flight to safety further underpins JPY and does little to lend support.

The USD/JPY pair remained heavily offered through the early European trading session and is now on the verge of breaking below the 113.00 handle.

After yesterday's good two way move, a combination of negative factors prompted some aggressive selling and dragged the pair to over one-week lows. 

With investors fretting over a possible pause in the Fed's rate-hike cycle, a sharp fall in the US Treasury bond yields and turned out to be a key trigger for bearish traders. 

In fact, the benchmark 10-year yield dropped to its lowest level since mid-September and exerted some additional downward pressure on the already weaker US Dollar, triggered by the US-China trade truce.

Adding to this, a fresh wave of global risk-aversion trade, as depicted by weaker tone across equity markets, underpinned the Japanese Yen's safe-haven status and further collaborated to the pair's steep intraday decline. 

In absence of any major market moving economic releases, broader market risk sentiment and the USD/US bond yield dynamics might continue to play an important role in influencing the pair's momentum on Tuesday.

Technical outlook

Omkar Godbole, FXStreet's own Analyst and Editor explained, “the pair is trapped in a narrowing price range or a symmetrical triangle pattern. Yesterday Doji candle indicates the rally from the Nov. 20 low of 112.30 has likely run out of steam at a high of 113.84 hit on Nov. 27.”

“A bearish reversal, however, would be confirmed if the pair closes today below 113.37 (low of yesterday's doji candle). That would open up downside toward the triangle support, currently seen at 112.57,” he added further.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

Japanese Yen stays resilient after BoJ maintains status quo

The Japanese Yen stays resilient against its major rivals on Friday, with USD/JPY trading in negative territory below 157.50. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to leave monetary policy settings unchanged at the October meeting, as expected. In the post-meeting press conference, BoJ Governor Ueda reiterated that they will continue to raise the policy rate and adjust the degree of monetary easing in reponse to economic activity and prices.

Gold bears retain control below $4,000 as hawkish Fed bets back further losses

Gold extends its intraday breakdown momentum below the $4,000 psychological mark through the early European session on Friday, eyeing the monthly swing low amid hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations. US macro data on Thursday pointed to resilient economic growth and persistent price pressures, solidifying bets of an imminent Fed rate hike in December. This is seen as undermining the non-yielding bullion for the second straight day and backing the case for further depreciation.

The hawkish Fed can't lift the US Dollar anymore
About three more Federal Reserve hikes are already priced in, and the central banks behind the Euro, Pound, Yen and Loonie are raising rates or about to. That leaves the US Dollar Index with little to gain if the Fed keeps leaning toward higher rates.
Binance hack shakes crypto, but XRP pullback may not be so bearish
Crypto markets were hit by a big headline overnight. Binance confirmed a security incident in which a compromised engineer's laptop led to unauthorized withdrawals, with an estimated impact of around $6.3 billion. About $3 billion has been frozen so far, Binance says it will cover the losses, and withdrawals were paused while security checks are completed.
A hot US economy is supposed to sink Gold. It didn't. Here's why
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure near $4,000, as stronger-than-expected United States (US) economic data reinforce expectations of another Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike in December. Economic growth is accelerating, inflation remains elevated, and borrowing costs could rise further.