|

USD/JPY: Scope for a move to 104.40 – UOB

According to FX Strategists at UOB Group, there is still scope for USD/JPY to re-test the 104.40 region in the near-term.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Our expectation for USD to ‘weaken further’ did not materialize as it rebounded strongly after touching 104.91. Downside risk has more or less dissipated and the current movement is viewed as part of a consolidation. For today, USD is likely to trade within a 105.00/ 105.50 range.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We have held a positive view in USD since early last week. After USD retreated after touching 106.21, we cautioned yesterday (22 Feb, spot at 105.50) that ‘upward momentum has waned quickly’ and ‘prospect for further USD strength has diminished considerably’. The positive phase came to an end as USD took out our ‘strong support’ level at 105.00 yesterday (low of 104.97) The current movement is viewed as a pullback that has scope to test month-to-date low at 104.40. At this stage, the prospect for a sustained decline below this level is not high. On the upside, a break of the ‘strong resistance’ at 105.65 would indicate the current downward pressure has eased.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers modestly, stays below 1.1900

EUR/USD gains traction and edges higher toward 1.1900 in the second half of the day on Thursday. The US Dollar struggles to benefit from the upbeat employment data following an initial positive reaction, allowing the pair to find a foothold.

GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 after UK data dump

GBP/USD clings to moderate gains above 1.3600 following the release of the UK Q4 preliminary GDP, which showed that the UK economy expanded at an annual pave of 1% in Q4. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood causes the USD to lose interest and helps the pair edge higher.

Gold retreats from February highs, holds above $5,000

Gold corrects lower after touching a fresh February-high above $5,100 but manages to hold comfortably above $5,000. The positive shift seen in risk mood limits the safe-haven precious metal's strength, while the trading action remains choppy ahead of Friday's key US inflation data.

LayerZero Price Forecast: ZRO steadies as markets digest Zero blockchain announcement

LayerZero (ZRO) trades above $2.00 at press time on Thursday, holding steady after a 17% rebound the previous day, which aligned with the public announcement of the Zero blockchain and Cathie Wood joining the advisory board. 

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.