|

USD/JPY rises above 144.50 as US yields stretch higher

  • USD/JPY trades in positive territory above 144.50 on Wednesday.
  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up more than 2% on the day.
  • Focus shifts to ISM's Services PMI survey for September.

USD/JPY continued to edge higher in the early American session on Wednesday and was last seen rising 0.35% on the day at 144.55.

10-year US yield is back above 3.7%

Although the risk-averse market environment allows the JPY to stay resilient against its rivals, rising US Treasury bond yields help USD/JPY preserve its bullish bias.

Following the sharp decline witnessed on Monday, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up more than 2% on the day slightly above 3.7%. The data from the US showed that the ADP Employment Change arrived at +208,000 in September, surpassing the market expectation of 200,000, providing a boost to the greenback and US yields.

According to the CME Group FedWatch Tool, markets are currently pricing in a 66.5% probability of one more 75 basis points Fed rate hike in November, compared to 50% on Tuesday. 

Later in the session, the ISM will release the Services PMI report for September. Market participants will pay close attention to the Prices Paid and Employment components of the survey.

Meanwhile, major equity indexes in the US look to open significantly lower after having registered impressive gains on Monday and Tuesday. Escalating geopolitical tensions force investors to stay away from risk-sensitive assets mid-week.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price144.5
Today Daily Change0.40
Today Daily Change %0.28
Today daily open144.1
 
Trends
Daily SMA20143.78
Daily SMA50139.14
Daily SMA100136.5
Daily SMA200128.26
 
Levels
Previous Daily High144.94
Previous Daily Low143.89
Previous Weekly High144.9
Previous Weekly Low143.25
Previous Monthly High145.9
Previous Monthly Low138.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%144.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%144.54
Daily Pivot Point S1143.69
Daily Pivot Point S2143.27
Daily Pivot Point S3142.64
Daily Pivot Point R1144.73
Daily Pivot Point R2145.35
Daily Pivot Point R3145.77

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at two-month lows near 0.6950 after Australian CPI data

AUD/USD is sitting at two-month lows near 0.6950 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as below-expectations August Australian underlying CPI data pours cold water on expectations for further RBA interest rate hikes. Chinese PMI data also fail to inspire the Australian Dollar, despite a pause in the US Dollar advance.

USD/JPY stays weak below 157.00 amid Japanese intervention risks

USD/JPY keeps losses below 157.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as hawkish BoJ expectations, along with intervention risks, underpin the Japanese Yen, countering dismal domestic factory output and retail sales data. Meanwhile, a broad US Dollar retreat also collaborates to the pair's downside.

Gold flat lines below $4,200 as traders await US PCE data for Fed rate cues

Gold extends its consolidative price move heading into the European session, trading below the $4,200 mark amid mixed fundamental cues. Falling US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the two-month high, touched on Tuesday, and act as a tailwind for the commodity. However, hawkish US Federal Reserve expectations cap the upside as traders await important US macro data before placing fresh directional bets on the non-yielding bullion.

Aave Price consolidates below $161 as profit-taking emerges after 10% surge

Aave slips below $161 on Wednesday after surging more than 10% the previous day, with on-chain data suggesting increased profit-taking. Meanwhile, Aave founder Stani Kulechov is considering an AAVE token-burn mechanism under Aavenomics 3.0, adding a potential catalyst for AAVE.

Warning: The RBI's October rate hike may be too late as oil risks mount
The Indian Rupee (INR) is one of the worst-performing Asian currencies in 2026, down about 6.5% year-to-date against the US Dollar (USD) and trading near historic lows ahead of the October 5–7 Reserve Bank of India (RBI) meeting. Economists expect the RBI to raise its repo rate by 25 basis points (bps) next month and follow up with another increase in December to counter rising retail inflation.
Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?