|

USD/JPY recovers above 109.30 ahead of US data

  • USD/JPY fluctuates in a tight range following Monday's decline.
  • US Dollar Index extends rebound beyond 92.70 ahead of American session.
  • Focus shifts to Retail Sales and Industrial Production data from US.

After closing the first day of the week deep in the negative territory, the USD/JPY pair struggled to gain traction during the Asian trading hours. With the greenback regathering its strength in the European session, however, the pair managed to stage a rebound and was last seen rising 0.09% on the day at 109.32.

DXY continues to edge higher

On Monday, the sharp decline witnessed in the US Treasury bond yields weighed heavily on USD/JPY. Although the benchmark 10-year US T-bond yield remains on the back foot and loses more than 3%, the pair's downside stays limited with the USD outperforming its major rivals.

The US Dollar Index, which managed to register small gains on Monday, is currently rising 0.12% on the day at 92.72. In the meantime, Wall Street's main indexes look to open lower for the second straight day with US stocks futures indexes losing between 0.35% and 0.55%. In case risk-off flows continue to dominate the financial markets in the second half of the day, the pair is likely to have a tough time pushing higher.

Earlier in the day, Japan announced on Tuesday that it has extended the state of emergency measures until September 12 with seven more prefectures being included.

Later in the day, July Retail Sales and Industrial Production data from the US will be looked upon for fresh impetus. 

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price109.31
Today Daily Change0.09
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open109.22
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.92
Daily SMA50110.17
Daily SMA100109.69
Daily SMA200107.44
 
Levels
Previous Daily High109.75
Previous Daily Low109.12
Previous Weekly High110.8
Previous Weekly Low109.55
Previous Monthly High111.66
Previous Monthly Low109.06
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%109.36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.51
Daily Pivot Point S1108.97
Daily Pivot Point S2108.72
Daily Pivot Point S3108.34
Daily Pivot Point R1109.61
Daily Pivot Point R2110
Daily Pivot Point R3110.25

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays bid above 0.7100 on Australian trade data, Mideast optimism

AUD/USD clings to minor recovery gains above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire keeps a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar. Meanwhile, strong AustralianTrade Balane data also help the Aussie pair sustain the bounce from weekly lows.

USD/JPY hovers near the 160.00 intervention threshold on Mideast tensions

USD/JPY struggles to find acceptance above 160.00 and retreats from a one-month high in the Asian session on Thursday amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire caps the US Dollar and supports the currency pair. However, renewed US-Iran tensions keep the downside limited in the Greenback and the pair.

Gold defends 200-day SMA; upside seems capped on Iran uncertainty

Gold recovers from a one-week low near $4,425, or the 200-day SMA, in the Asian session on Thursday, as news of an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire acts as a headwind for the safe-haven US Dollar. However, renewed hostilities in the Gulf, along with stalled US-Iran peace talks, keep geopolitical risks in play and should support the USD, checking the Gold price rebound.


Ethereum: Long-term holders' capitulation drives ETH below $1,800

Ethereum has fallen below $1,800 on Wednesday, the first time since May 2025 following accelerated spot selling pressure and distributions from long-term holders. The Age Consumed metric, which tracks the movement of previously idle tokens or long-term holders' coins, spiked over the past two days as prices declined, indicating increased selling activity among this cohort.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.