|

USD/JPY: Rally could extend to 129.50 and 130.00 – UOB

The rally in USD/JPY looks unabated and could visit the 129.50/130.00 region in the near term, according to FX Strategists at UOB Group Lee Sue Ann and Quek Ser Leang.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “While we expected USD to strengthen yesterday, we were of the view that ‘127.80 is likely out of reach’. In other words, we underestimated USD strength as it jumped by a whopping 1.52% (NY close of 128.90). USD extended its advance after NY close and further USD strength is not ruled out. Only a breach of 1.28.30 (minor support 128.60) would indicate that the current strong upward pressure has eased. On the upside, resistance is at 129.50 followed by the major level of 130.00.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We highlighted yesterday (19 Apr, spot at 127.10) that further USD strength appears likely and the next levels to watch are at 127.50 and 128.00. We did not expect the subsequent sharp rally as USD eclipsed both 127.50 and 128.00 and rocketed to 128.97. USD extended its advance during early Asian hours and there is no end in sight to the current relentless rally. Next resistance levels of note are at 129.50 and 130.00. Overall, only a breach of 127.70 (‘strong support’ level was at 126.10 yesterday) would indicate that the rally in USD is ready to take a breather.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).