|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Recovers back inside rising channel

  • USD/JPY has returned to trade back inside its rising channel after a false breakdown. 
  • The pair is in a short-term and long-term uptrend suggesting a bias towards the upside. 

USD/JPY has recovered back inside its rising channel after a temporary downside break on September 24. 

The pair has broken above the 50, 100 and 200-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA) and is in an established short-term uptrend.

USD/JPY 4-hour Chart 

Given it is a principle of technical analysis that “the trend is your friend” the odds favor a continuation higher. 

Momentum as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is confirming the bullish bias, although it is easing somewhat. 

A break above the current day’s high of 145.20 would suggest a continuation of the trend with tentative targets lying at 145.50 and finally in a bullish case 146.00. 

The medium-term trend was bearish but it is now unclear and could arguably be bullish. USD/JPY remains in a long-term uptrend.

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with two-week tops around 1.3270

GBP/USD makes a U-turn and adds to Monday’s uptick, advancing to the area of two-week highs near 1.3270 on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Cable’s better tone follows a loss of upside traction in the Greenback, always amid the sharp rally in USD/JPY.

EUR/USD stays offered, flirts with 1.1400

EUR/USD manages to reverse the early drop and now trades with marginal gains near 1.1420 on Tuesday. The pair’s recovery comes in response to some loss of momentum in the US Dollar.

Gold keeps the positive mood above $4,000

Following multi-month lows near $3,950, Gold now manages to regain some composure and reclaim the area beyond the key $4,000 yardstick per troy ounce on Wednesday. Still, any meaningful recovery appears limited as a broadly firmer US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields weigh on the yellow metal.

Ripple defends critical support, Stellar extends recovery

Ripple (XRP) trades around the key $1.00 psychological level, consolidating as the token awaits its next directional catalyst. Stellar (XLM) extends its recovery above $0.178 after posting modest gains at the start of this week.

Why a hawkish Bank of Japan could trigger the next Bitcoin sell-off

The Japanese Yen hits a 40-year low of 162.00 against the US Dollar, raising concerns about intervention or additional rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. BoJ may sell US Treasuries to buy back Yen, potentially pushing US bond yields higher and making Bitcoin less attractive to investors.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.