USD/JPY Price Forecast: Fails to clear 145.00, forms ‘doji’ pattern
- USD/JPY trades flat at 144.72 after hitting a three-week high of 145.21, as election uncertainty dampens momentum.
- Doji candlestick and flat RSI suggest market indecision, with key resistance at the 50-DMA of 146.49.
- A break below 144.11 could lead to further declines, testing support levels at 143.39 and 142.39.
The USD/JPY remains subdued after seesawing within a 110-pip range, where the pair hit a three-week high of 145.21. Uncertainty around the Japanese election has overshadowed speeches by Bank of Japan (BoJ) officials, who decided to hold rates unchanged last week. At the time of writing, the major trades at 144.72, flat.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook
From a technical standpoint, the downtrend is set to continue. Thursday’s price action forms a ‘doji’, meaning neither buyers nor sellers commit to solid positions. Even the Relative Strength Index (RSI), despite showing bulls in charge, the RSI slope is flat at 51.
If USD/JPY buyers push prices above the September 26 high at 145.21, that could prompt a challenge of the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 146.49 before testing the 147.00 mark. The next resistance would be the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) at around 148.20-50.
Conversely, if the pair slumps below the September 26 low of 144.11, that will test the Kijun-Sen at 143.39, followed by the Senkou Span A at 142.89. On further weakness, the Tenkan-Sen will be the Bulls' last line of defense at 142.39.
USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart
Japanese Yen PRICE Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.38% | -0.65% | 0.01% | -0.06% | -1.00% | -1.00% | -0.51% | |
| EUR | 0.38% | -0.28% | 0.39% | 0.32% | -0.62% | -0.62% | -0.13% | |
| GBP | 0.65% | 0.28% | 0.66% | 0.60% | -0.34% | -0.36% | 0.15% | |
| JPY | -0.01% | -0.39% | -0.66% | -0.06% | -1.02% | -1.02% | -0.53% | |
| CAD | 0.06% | -0.32% | -0.60% | 0.06% | -0.93% | -0.94% | -0.44% | |
| AUD | 1.00% | 0.62% | 0.34% | 1.02% | 0.93% | 0.00% | 0.50% | |
| NZD | 1.00% | 0.62% | 0.36% | 1.02% | 0.94% | -0.00% | 0.50% | |
| CHF | 0.51% | 0.13% | -0.15% | 0.53% | 0.44% | -0.50% | -0.50% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).
Author
Christian Borjon Valencia
FXStreet
Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.
