|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Turns bearish, sliding below the one-hour 200-EMA, as sellers eye 143.00

  • USD/JPY drops on a risk-on impulse due to equities rising amidst a falling greenback and US T-bond yields.
  • If the USD/JPY clears 144.00, the pair could tumble to 143.00.
  • Even though RSI is at oversold conditions, the break of the 200-EMA in the hourly chart shifted the bias downwards.

USD/JPY is subdued, falling for the second straight day as global equities extended their rally, following actions of some central banks, like the Bank of England (BoE) and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), taking a “dovish” stance. Therefore, speculations that the Fed might follow suit sent US T-bond yields and the greenback diving. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 144.07, shy of the 144.00 figure, down 0.32%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a technical analysis perspective, the USD/JPY is still upward biased, even though it is approaching the 20-day EMA at 143.76. Upside lies resistance at around 144.00, followed by Monday’s high at 144.93, ahead of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) line on the sand at 145.00.

For the major to shift neutral, the USD/JPY would need to collapse below the September 22 low of 140.34. Once cleared, the next support would be the 50-day EMA at 139.11.

The USD/JPY one-hour scale shows the majors tumbled below 144.67, Tuesday’s daily pivot, and the confluence of the 20, 50, and 100-EMAs, opening the door for further losses. Furthermore, as the USD/JPY heads south, it surpassed the 200-EMA at 144.19, shifting the short-term bias downwards. Albeit the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at oversold conditions, a fall towards the S2 pivot point at 143.49, ahead of a test of the 143.00 figure.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price144.06
Today Daily Change-0.47
Today Daily Change %-0.33
Today daily open144.53
 
Trends
Daily SMA20143.71
Daily SMA50139
Daily SMA100136.35
Daily SMA200128.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High145.32
Previous Daily Low144.16
Previous Weekly High144.9
Previous Weekly Low143.25
Previous Monthly High145.9
Previous Monthly Low138.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%144.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%144.88
Daily Pivot Point S1144.02
Daily Pivot Point S2143.5
Daily Pivot Point S3142.85
Daily Pivot Point R1145.18
Daily Pivot Point R2145.84
Daily Pivot Point R3146.35

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.