|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Turned bearish, as death-cross surfaces, tumbles below 130.00

  • USD/JPY remained pressured as the 50-DMA crossed beneath the 200-DMA.
  • Bears stepped in and reclaimed 130.00, as they eye 129.00.

USD/JPY fell as the North American session progressed and tumbled below the 130.00 figure, as buyers failed to crack the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 130.74. Factors like a soft US Dollar (USD) and falling US Treasury bond yields are two fundamental reasons for renewed Japanese Yen (JPY) strength. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 129.77.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Tuesday’s session was characterized by the USD/JPY reaching a weekly high at 131.11, slightly above the 20-day EMA, but dropped to 130.10. Today, the USD/JPY hit a daily high of 130.58 but extended its losses, while the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossed beneath the 200-day EMA, meaning a death cross emerged in the daily, suggesting that further downside is expected.

Oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Rate of Change (RoC) aim downwards, supporting lower prices.

Therefore, the USD/JPY first support would be the day’s low of 129.26. Break below will expose the 129.00 psychological level, followed by the January 20 swing low at 128.34 and the YTD low of 127.21. As an alternate scenario, if the USD/JPY reclaims 130.00, the pair could challenge the 20-day EMA.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price129.83
Today Daily Change-0.33
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open130.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA20130.84
Daily SMA50134.44
Daily SMA100139.87
Daily SMA200136.74
 
Levels
Previous Daily High131.12
Previous Daily Low129.73
Previous Weekly High131.58
Previous Weekly Low127.22
Previous Monthly High138.18
Previous Monthly Low130.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%130.26
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%130.58
Daily Pivot Point S1129.55
Daily Pivot Point S2128.94
Daily Pivot Point S3128.16
Daily Pivot Point R1130.94
Daily Pivot Point R2131.72
Daily Pivot Point R3132.33

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.