|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Turned bearish, as death-cross surfaces, tumbles below 130.00

  • USD/JPY remained pressured as the 50-DMA crossed beneath the 200-DMA.
  • Bears stepped in and reclaimed 130.00, as they eye 129.00.

USD/JPY fell as the North American session progressed and tumbled below the 130.00 figure, as buyers failed to crack the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 130.74. Factors like a soft US Dollar (USD) and falling US Treasury bond yields are two fundamental reasons for renewed Japanese Yen (JPY) strength. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 129.77.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Tuesday’s session was characterized by the USD/JPY reaching a weekly high at 131.11, slightly above the 20-day EMA, but dropped to 130.10. Today, the USD/JPY hit a daily high of 130.58 but extended its losses, while the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossed beneath the 200-day EMA, meaning a death cross emerged in the daily, suggesting that further downside is expected.

Oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Rate of Change (RoC) aim downwards, supporting lower prices.

Therefore, the USD/JPY first support would be the day’s low of 129.26. Break below will expose the 129.00 psychological level, followed by the January 20 swing low at 128.34 and the YTD low of 127.21. As an alternate scenario, if the USD/JPY reclaims 130.00, the pair could challenge the 20-day EMA.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price129.83
Today Daily Change-0.33
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open130.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA20130.84
Daily SMA50134.44
Daily SMA100139.87
Daily SMA200136.74
 
Levels
Previous Daily High131.12
Previous Daily Low129.73
Previous Weekly High131.58
Previous Weekly Low127.22
Previous Monthly High138.18
Previous Monthly Low130.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%130.26
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%130.58
Daily Pivot Point S1129.55
Daily Pivot Point S2128.94
Daily Pivot Point S3128.16
Daily Pivot Point R1130.94
Daily Pivot Point R2131.72
Daily Pivot Point R3132.33

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles aroound 1.1800 as USD stabilizes

EUR/USD stays defensive around 1.1800 in the European session on Thursday. The US Dollar stabilizes, following the recent decline led by tariff uncertainty, capping the pair's upside. All eyes now remain on the US-Iran nuclear talks after ECB President Lagarde's testimony fails to impress Euro bulls. 

GBP/USD drops toward 1.3500 as USD finds fresh demand

GBP/USD falls back toward 1.3500 in the European session on Thursday, snapping its recovery momentum. The pair loses traction as the US Dollar finds fresh demand, as markets turn cautious ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks. The US trade policy uncertainty also remains a drag on risk sentiment. 

Gold clings to gains amid sustained safe-haven flows ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold sticks to its modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session on Thursday, with bulls still awaiting a sustained move and acceptance above the $5,200 mark before placing fresh bets. 

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty. 

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.