|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Surges past 159.00, approaches Yentervention levels

  • USD/JPY rises to 159.59, nearing the pivotal 160.00 mark, propelled by robust US PMI data.
  • Key resistance at 160.00 and YTD high of 160.32; potential for Bank of Japan intervention looms.
  • Support found at 159.00, June 14 high of 158.25, 158.00, with additional support at Tenkan-Sen (157.69) and Senkou Span A (157.40).

The US Dollar climbs against the Japanese Yen on Friday and approaches intervention levels ahead of the weekend. Stronger than expected US S&P Global Flash PMIs overshadowed weaker housing data and weighed the JPY. Therefore, the USD/JPY trades at 159.59, gains 0.42%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The major has finally broken the barrier of 159.00 and closes to intervention levels reached on April 29, when the USD/JPY cleared the 160.00 figure. This triggered a reaction by the Bank of Japan, which intervened in the FX space, sending the pair tumbling 400 pips to 156.06 after hitting a daily high of 160.32.

Despite that, the USD/JPY remains upward biased, and the next resistance would be 160.00. Once cleared up, next would be the year-to-date (YTD) high of 160.32.

Conversely, the most likely scenario due to intervention threats is the USD/JPY first support of 159.00. Once cleared, the next support would be the June 14 high at 158.25, followed by 158.00. Further losses are seen at the Tenkan-Sen at 157.69, followed by Senkou Span A at 157.40, ahead of the Kijun-Sen at 157.11

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price159.66
Today Daily Change0.72
Today Daily Change %0.45
Today daily open158.94
 
Trends
Daily SMA20157.01
Daily SMA50156.01
Daily SMA100153.1
Daily SMA200150.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High158.95
Previous Daily Low157.84
Previous Weekly High158.26
Previous Weekly Low155.72
Previous Monthly High157.99
Previous Monthly Low151.86
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%158.52
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%158.26
Daily Pivot Point S1158.2
Daily Pivot Point S2157.46
Daily Pivot Point S3157.09
Daily Pivot Point R1159.31
Daily Pivot Point R2159.69
Daily Pivot Point R3160.43

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.