|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Stumbles to fresh weekly lows around 132.10s

  • USD/JPY drops 0.70% on risk aversion and a softer US Dollar.
  • USD/JPY Price Analysis: Downward biased, could extend its losses below 130.00, towards May lows around 126.00.

The USD/JPY is falling for the second consecutive day as risk aversion continues to drive the last trading day of 2022, as shown by Wall Street registering losses. The USD/JPY extended its fall below the December 29 daily low of 132.87 and stabilized at current exchange rates after hitting a daily low of 131.50. At the time of typing, the USD/JPY is trading at 132.11.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a daily chart perspective, the USD/JPY might continue to drop further, but until it breaks the December 20 daily low of 130.56, that could pave the way to test 130.00. At the time of writing, the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crossed below the 200-day EMA, exacerbating further downside action. Since peaking at around 151.94 in October, the USD/JPY has recorded successive series of lower highs and lows, confirming the downtrend. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Rate of Change (RoC) are in bearish territory, suggesting that sellers are in charge.

That said, the USD/JPY first support would be 130.56, followed by the figure at 130.00. The break below will expose the May 24 swing low of 126.36, followed by the March 31 low of 121.27.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price132.1
Today Daily Change-0.92
Today Daily Change %-0.69
Today daily open133.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA20135.06
Daily SMA50139.89
Daily SMA100141.12
Daily SMA200136.18
 
Levels
Previous Daily High134.5
Previous Daily Low132.88
Previous Weekly High137.48
Previous Weekly Low130.57
Previous Monthly High148.82
Previous Monthly Low137.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%133.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%133.88
Daily Pivot Point S1132.43
Daily Pivot Point S2131.84
Daily Pivot Point S3130.81
Daily Pivot Point R1134.06
Daily Pivot Point R2135.09
Daily Pivot Point R3135.68

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).