|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Struggles at key resistance, slumps below 161.00

  • USD/JPY consolidates with technical indicators suggesting a range-bound movement between 160.00 and 162.00.
  • Potential Japanese intervention in FX markets looms, deterring aggressive buyers.
  • A break above 161.00 could target YTD high of 161.95, while support lies at 160.22, with further downside risks to 158.25.

The USD/JPY consolidates below the psychological 161.00 figure as US Treasury bond yields edge lower and the Greenback weakens. The traders focus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's semi-annual testimony at the US Congress and the release of US inflation figures. The major trades at 160.79, virtually unchanged.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY daily chart is set to continue to trend higher from a price action standpoint, but fears of intervention by Japanese authorities in the FX markets might dent buyers from pushing the exchange rate higher.

Momentum suggests the pair would consolidate within the 160.00-162.00 range, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains flat in bullish territory.

If USD/JPY buyers reclaim 161.00, that could exacerbate an upward move toward the year-to-date (YTD) high of 161.95. Further gains are seen above 162.00, at around the November 1986 high of 164.87.

Conversely, if the major slumps below the April 29 high at 160.22, the next support would be the Senkou Span A at 159.68. A breach of the latter and the pair will test the Kijun-Sen at 158.25, ahead of the Senkou Span B at 156.91.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.00%-0.01%-0.03%-0.01%-0.04%-0.04%-0.02%
EUR0.00% -0.04%-0.02%-0.02%-0.03%-0.01%-0.02%
GBP0.01%0.04% 0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.01%
JPY0.03%0.02%-0.02% 0.02%-0.02%-0.03%0.02%
CAD0.01%0.02%-0.02%-0.02% -0.04%-0.01%-0.02%
AUD0.04%0.03%-0.02%0.02%0.04% -0.02%-0.01%
NZD0.04%0.01%-0.02%0.03%0.01%0.02% 0.02%
CHF0.02%0.02%-0.01%-0.02%0.02%0.00%-0.02% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hovers around 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot around 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts. 

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report. 

Gold retains bullish bias amid Fed rate cut bets, ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains through the early European session, reversing a major part of the previous day's heavy losses of more than 2%, to the $4,843-4,842 region or a nearly two-week low. That said, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bulls ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which will look for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's rate-cut path. 

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.