|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Struggles at key resistance, slumps below 161.00

  • USD/JPY consolidates with technical indicators suggesting a range-bound movement between 160.00 and 162.00.
  • Potential Japanese intervention in FX markets looms, deterring aggressive buyers.
  • A break above 161.00 could target YTD high of 161.95, while support lies at 160.22, with further downside risks to 158.25.

The USD/JPY consolidates below the psychological 161.00 figure as US Treasury bond yields edge lower and the Greenback weakens. The traders focus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's semi-annual testimony at the US Congress and the release of US inflation figures. The major trades at 160.79, virtually unchanged.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY daily chart is set to continue to trend higher from a price action standpoint, but fears of intervention by Japanese authorities in the FX markets might dent buyers from pushing the exchange rate higher.

Momentum suggests the pair would consolidate within the 160.00-162.00 range, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains flat in bullish territory.

If USD/JPY buyers reclaim 161.00, that could exacerbate an upward move toward the year-to-date (YTD) high of 161.95. Further gains are seen above 162.00, at around the November 1986 high of 164.87.

Conversely, if the major slumps below the April 29 high at 160.22, the next support would be the Senkou Span A at 159.68. A breach of the latter and the pair will test the Kijun-Sen at 158.25, ahead of the Senkou Span B at 156.91.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.00%-0.01%-0.03%-0.01%-0.04%-0.04%-0.02%
EUR0.00% -0.04%-0.02%-0.02%-0.03%-0.01%-0.02%
GBP0.01%0.04% 0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%0.01%
JPY0.03%0.02%-0.02% 0.02%-0.02%-0.03%0.02%
CAD0.01%0.02%-0.02%-0.02% -0.04%-0.01%-0.02%
AUD0.04%0.03%-0.02%0.02%0.04% -0.02%-0.01%
NZD0.04%0.01%-0.02%0.03%0.01%0.02% 0.02%
CHF0.02%0.02%-0.01%-0.02%0.02%0.00%-0.02% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.