USD/JPY Price Analysis: Recovery remains elusive below 129.50

USD/JPY picks up bids to portray a rebound from 12-day low, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Bearish MACD signals, break of ascending trend line from March favor sellers.
100-SMA, the peak of April 20 constitute key short-term resistance.
200-SMA, late April’s swing low act as additional downside filters.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

USD/JPY recovers from a fortnight low, snaps two-day downtrend, as it regains 128.50 during the initial hour of Tokyo open on Friday.

The yen pair’s latest run-up could be linked to the failure to break the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) level of March 31 to May 09 upside. However, bearish MACD signals and sustained trading below the previous support line from late March, around 130.70 by the press time, keep sellers hopeful.

That said, the current upside momentum eyes 129.50 level, a confluence of the 100-SMA and April 20 high.

Following that, the 130.00 round figure and the support-turned-resistance line near 130.70 will be crucial to watch for further USD/JPY advances.

Should the quote rises past 130.70, the odds of it refreshing the latest multi-month high of 131.34 can’t be ruled out.

Alternatively, pullback moves may initially aim for the 38.2% Fibo level surrounding 127.50 before the 200-SMA challenge the USD/JPY sellers near 127.10. Also likely to test the pair’s further downside is the late April bottom close to 126.90.

Hence, USD/JPY moves aren’t likely to be entertaining until staying between 126.90 and 129.50.

USD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	128.6
Today Daily Change	0.22
Today Daily Change %	0.17%
Today daily open	128.38

Trends
Daily SMA20	129.03
Daily SMA50	124.15
Daily SMA100	119.59
Daily SMA200	115.89

Levels
Previous Daily High	130.06
Previous Daily Low	127.52
Previous Weekly High	130.81
Previous Weekly Low	128.63
Previous Monthly High	131.26
Previous Monthly Low	121.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	128.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	129.09
Daily Pivot Point S1	127.24
Daily Pivot Point S2	126.11
Daily Pivot Point S3	124.7
Daily Pivot Point R1	129.78
Daily Pivot Point R2	131.19
Daily Pivot Point R3	132.33

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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