|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Re-testing weekly highs, shy of the 20-DMA

  • USD/JPY remains sideways, trapped within the 129.00/131.00 range.
  • Buyers are unable to conquer the 20-day Exponential Moving Average, and keep the USD/JPY pair range-bound.
  • USD/JPY Price Analysis: Remains exposed to selling pressure, as its bias is still downwards.

The USD/JPY bounces from weekly lows reached early Thursday at 129.02 and reclaimed the 130.00 psychological level, eyeing a test of the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 130.70. Nevertheless, the USD/JPY fell short and hit a daily high at 130.61, settling around current exchange rates. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 130.34.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Although USD/JPY buyers are staging a comeback late in the week, they have been unable to crack the 20-day EMA, which exposes the pair to selling pressure. Traders should be aware that long term, the USD/JPY remains downward biased, and it can shift to neutral if buyers reclaim the January 11 high of 131.57.

Failure to crack the 20-day EMA paves the way for a bearish continuation. Therefore, the USD/JPY first support would be the psychological 130.00 figure, followed by a test of this week’s low of 129.02. A breach of the latter and the USD/JPY might fall toward the year-to-date (YTD) low of 127.21, hit on January 16.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price130.31
Today Daily Change0.71
Today Daily Change %0.55
Today daily open129.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA20130.59
Daily SMA50134.24
Daily SMA100139.73
Daily SMA200136.75
 
Levels
Previous Daily High130.58
Previous Daily Low129.27
Previous Weekly High131.58
Previous Weekly Low127.22
Previous Monthly High138.18
Previous Monthly Low130.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%129.77
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%130.08
Daily Pivot Point S1129.05
Daily Pivot Point S2128.5
Daily Pivot Point S3127.73
Daily Pivot Point R1130.37
Daily Pivot Point R2131.13
Daily Pivot Point R3131.68

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1800 on Fed hawkish remarks

The EUR/USD pair edges lower to around 1.1775 during the early Asian session on Wednesday, pressured by a renewed US Dollar demand. Traders await the US President Donald Trump's State of the Union address later on Wednesday for clarity on fiscal policies. 

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold bounces back above $5,150 ahead Trump's State of the Union speech

Gold finds fresh demand and regains the $5,150 level following the previous day's pullback from the monthly peak as traders await Trump's State of the Union address. In the meantime, trade-related uncertainties and geopolitical risks seem to act as a tailwind for the safe-haven bullion. 

Hyperliquid registers mild gains following CoinShares' ETP launch

Hyperliquid registered a 3% gain on Tuesday after CoinShares announced the launch of its Physical Hyperliquid Staking exchange-traded product, offering investors exposure to the token's price and staking yields.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.