|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Re-testing weekly highs, shy of the 20-DMA

  • USD/JPY remains sideways, trapped within the 129.00/131.00 range.
  • Buyers are unable to conquer the 20-day Exponential Moving Average, and keep the USD/JPY pair range-bound.
  • USD/JPY Price Analysis: Remains exposed to selling pressure, as its bias is still downwards.

The USD/JPY bounces from weekly lows reached early Thursday at 129.02 and reclaimed the 130.00 psychological level, eyeing a test of the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 130.70. Nevertheless, the USD/JPY fell short and hit a daily high at 130.61, settling around current exchange rates. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 130.34.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Although USD/JPY buyers are staging a comeback late in the week, they have been unable to crack the 20-day EMA, which exposes the pair to selling pressure. Traders should be aware that long term, the USD/JPY remains downward biased, and it can shift to neutral if buyers reclaim the January 11 high of 131.57.

Failure to crack the 20-day EMA paves the way for a bearish continuation. Therefore, the USD/JPY first support would be the psychological 130.00 figure, followed by a test of this week’s low of 129.02. A breach of the latter and the USD/JPY might fall toward the year-to-date (YTD) low of 127.21, hit on January 16.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price130.31
Today Daily Change0.71
Today Daily Change %0.55
Today daily open129.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA20130.59
Daily SMA50134.24
Daily SMA100139.73
Daily SMA200136.75
 
Levels
Previous Daily High130.58
Previous Daily Low129.27
Previous Weekly High131.58
Previous Weekly Low127.22
Previous Monthly High138.18
Previous Monthly Low130.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%129.77
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%130.08
Daily Pivot Point S1129.05
Daily Pivot Point S2128.5
Daily Pivot Point S3127.73
Daily Pivot Point R1130.37
Daily Pivot Point R2131.13
Daily Pivot Point R3131.68

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold fades the earlier optimism; back below $4,200

Gold could not sustain the post-NFP bull run past the $4,200 mark per troy ounce, receding toward the $4,180 region at the end of the week. The precious metal’s inconclusive price action comes amid fresh selling pressure hurting the US Dollar as investors assess the latest NFP data.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP gains reinforce bullish outlook

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly recovering on Friday, led by Bitcoin moving above $86,000. Ethereum has reaffirmed its bullish outlook, rising above $2,700 while the immediate area at $2,800 caps upside. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers near $1.54.

Week ahead – Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout

Energy crisis and soaring bond yields to stay in driver’s seat in quiet week. Fed minutes eyed after drop in October rate hike bets. ISM services PMI and Treasury auctions to be watched too. Canadian employment, Japanese wages and ECB minutes also on tap.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.