|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Looms near multi-year highs as bulls target 161.00

  • USD/JPY registers minimal loss after hitting a daily low of 160.28.
  • Technical outlook shows uptrend intact, with RSI in overbought conditions indicating strong buying momentum.
  • Key resistance levels: psychological 161.00 and 162.00, followed by November 1986 high of 164.87 and April 1986 high of 178.
  • Key support levels: Tenkan-Sen at 159.01, June 24 low of 158.75, Senkou Span A at 158.36, and Kijun-Sen at 157.70.

The USD/JPY registers minimal loss after hitting a daily low of 160.28, yet the major remains approaching the 161.00 figure for the second consecutive day as the Japanese authority's verbal jawboning has failed to contain the Yen’s depreciation. The pair trades at 160.77, down 0.03%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY uptrend remains intact, yet traders remain cautions after they reclaimed the psychological 160.00 figure, seen as the first line of defense for Japanese authorities to intervene in the FX markets. However, the pair continued to advance steadily, although the risks of an intervention grew.

Momentum favors buyers, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at overbought conditions. However, due to the strength of the uptrend, most technicians use 80 as “extreme” overextended conditions.

That said, the USD/JPY first resistance would be the psychological levels of 161.00, 162.00, and so forth, ahead of testing November’s 1986 high of 164.87, followed by April's 1986 high of 178.

Conversely, if USD/JPY drops below 160.00, the first support would be the Tenkan-Sen at 159.01, followed by June’s 24 low of 158.75. Once those levels are cleared, the next stop would be the Senkou Span A at 158.36 and then the Kijun-Sen at 157.70.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.23%-0.15%-0.03%-0.05%-0.02%-0.04%0.14%
EUR0.23% 0.06%0.17%0.16%0.23%0.16%0.36%
GBP0.15%-0.06% 0.14%0.10%0.16%0.12%0.31%
JPY0.03%-0.17%-0.14% -0.02%0.00%-0.05%0.18%
CAD0.05%-0.16%-0.10%0.02% 0.02%0.00%0.19%
AUD0.02%-0.23%-0.16%-0.01%-0.02% -0.02%0.15%
NZD0.04%-0.16%-0.12%0.05%-0.01%0.02% 0.18%
CHF-0.14%-0.36%-0.31%-0.18%-0.19%-0.15%-0.18% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).