|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Climbs toward 154.00 after bouncing off the 50-DMA

  • USD/JPY climbs over 0.60% from two-week low, as positive sentiment reduces yen's safe-haven appeal.
  • Hammer candlestick at 152.97 on Friday signals potential upward momentum.
  • Resistance seen at 154.00, with further targets at 155.52 (Tenkan-Sen) and 155.78 (Senkou Span A).

The USD/JPY bounced off a two-week low and climbed toward the 153.90ish area, shy of decisively cracking the 154.00 mark. It is trading with gains of more than 0.60%. The market sentiment is upbeat, a headwind for safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen (JPY).

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY remains upward biased. On Friday, the pair hit the two-week low of 151.99, though finished the session at 152.97, forming a ‘hammer,’ a candlestick chart pattern. This chart pattern is bullish when preceded by a downtrend, but it needs to be followed by a candle that breaches the ‘hammer’s’ high.

With that said, the USD/JPY cleared the May 3 high at 153.80, opening the door for further gains. Therefore, the first resistance would be the 154.00 mark. Once cleared, up next would be the Tenkan-Sen at 155.52, followed by the Senkou Span A at 155.78. Further gains are seen at 156.05.

For a bearish resumption, sellers must clear the 50-DMA at 151.99, which could pave the way to testing the following lowest low at 150.81.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price153.93
Today Daily Change0.89
Today Daily Change %0.58
Today daily open153.04
 
Trends
Daily SMA20154.52
Daily SMA50151.93
Daily SMA100149.21
Daily SMA200148.42
 
Levels
Previous Daily High153.78
Previous Daily Low151.86
Previous Weekly High160.32
Previous Weekly Low151.86
Previous Monthly High160.32
Previous Monthly Low150.81
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%152.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%153.05
Daily Pivot Point S1152
Daily Pivot Point S2150.97
Daily Pivot Point S3150.08
Daily Pivot Point R1153.93
Daily Pivot Point R2154.81
Daily Pivot Point R3155.85

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD regains balance, targets 1.1800

EUR/USD has lost a bit of momentum after its earlier push higher and is now attempting to reclaim the key 1.1800 barrier on Monday. In the meantime, investors remain focused on the evolving US–EU trade relationship after President Trump’s announcement of sweeping global tariff hikes.

GBP/USD recedes from tops, back to 1.3500

GBP/USD is extending its move higher on Monday, meeting some resistance around 1.3530 on the back of the widespread bearish tone in the US Dollar amid ongoing uncertainty around tariffs. For now, traders are watching overall risk sentiment and central bank rhetoric for the next directional cue.

Gold advances to four-week highs, focus is on $5,200

Gold is holding onto its bullish tone on Monday, hovering near monthly highs well above the $5,100 mark per troy ounce. Fresh trade-war concerns, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, are keeping demand for the yellow metal well on the rise.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP intensify sell-off as tariff uncertainty weighs

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are trading amid increasing selling pressure at the time of writing on Monday, as investors react to fresh trade uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s push for more tariffs.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

Top Crypto Losers: Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero extended losses as Bitcoin loses $65,000

The cryptocurrency market starts the week in panic mode, with altcoins Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero. Bitcoin falls below $65,000 as the US President Donald Trump regroups amid renewed trade policy risks.