|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Challenges 50-DMA on its three-day uptrend

  • USD/JPY takes out post-FOMC minutes highs to challenge 50-DMA at 110.19.
  • Fed minutes signalled tapering is coming before the end of this year.
  • RSI has pierced through the midline, the tide has turned in favor of bulls.

USD/JPY is challenging four-day highs above 110.00, having taking out the post-FOMC top at 110.07, as the bulls continue to take advantage of the unabated US dollar demand across the board.

The Fed minutes revealed that the officials discussed tapering plans for the latter part of this year when they met in July for the monetary policy review. The greenback bulls were just awaiting this confirmation for advancing further, which drove USD/JPY higher alongside.

However, the bulls could face some stiff resistance on its three-day uptrend, as the Treasury yields are bearing the brunt of the risk-off trading in the global markets, thanks to the covid woes and tapering fears.

Technically, USD/JPY needs to crack the 50-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at 110.19 on a sustained basis to unleashing the recovery towards the August 13 highs of 110.46.

Further up, the buyers will target the August 11 highs of 110.80.

The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has pierced through the midline, reclaiming the bullish territory, which suggests that the tide has turned in favor of the optimists.

USD/JPY daily chart

On the flip side, horizontal 21-DMA offers immediate support at 109.89, below which the daily low at 109.77 will get tested.

The last resort for USD/JPY buyers is envisioned at the 100-DMA cap at 109.66.

USD/JPY additional levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price110.17
Today Daily Change0.41
Today Daily Change %0.37
Today daily open109.77
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.88
Daily SMA50110.18
Daily SMA100109.67
Daily SMA200107.48
 
Levels
Previous Daily High110.07
Previous Daily Low109.48
Previous Weekly High110.8
Previous Weekly Low109.55
Previous Monthly High111.66
Previous Monthly Low109.06
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%109.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.7
Daily Pivot Point S1109.48
Daily Pivot Point S2109.18
Daily Pivot Point S3108.89
Daily Pivot Point R1110.07
Daily Pivot Point R2110.36
Daily Pivot Point R3110.65

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.