|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears about to pounce as US dollar meets 4-hour resistance

  • USD/JPY bears could be about to make another move. 
  • The yen buying campaign could be underway. 

As per the prior analysis, post US inflation data on Tuesday, USD/JPY pops back into intervention territory at a session high, the market has acted accordingly as follows:

USD/JPY, prior technical analysis

It was stated that the harmonic pattern was bearish n the daily chart.

A break of 141.50 will still be a key development in the days ahead, should that eventuate.

It also noted that the US dollar was on heat right now so attempting to pick a top would have been futile, but monitoring for a deceleration in the rally would go a long way in determining the trajectory for USD/JPY.

The verbal intervention of the Japanese officials sparked a bid in the yen and helped to see the harmonic pattern in the USD/JPY play out as follows:

The price has pierced the trendline support, depending on where it is drawn, but in this case, the bears are taking on this trendline and there could be more in store for the days ahead. 

As for the DXY, the price analysis from yesterday was as follows:

DXY H4 chart

The chart above illustrated the market structure and key support levels should the US dollar take a turn for the worst in the coming days which could prompt a buying camping in the yen. 

The outcome?...

The price did indeed fall and if the bears commit again at the neckline of this M-formation, we should see more of the same from the yen in the coming sessions. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).