|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Back above 134.00, as bulls moved in and crushed the 200-DMA

  • USD/JPY rallies above 134.00 after breaking above the 200-day EMA.
  • USD/JPY Price Analysis: Upward biased, though a daily close above the 200-DMA could cement the uptrend.

The USD/JPY rallies more than 100 pips and clears the 134.00 mark, breaking north of the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 133.77, a bullish/bearish bias measure for an asset. Hence, the USD/JPY shifted bullish during the session, though a daily close above the 200-day EMA would keep bulls hopeful for further upside. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY exchanges hand at 134.28 after hitting a low of 132.54.

From a daily chart perspective, the USD/JPY shifted upward biased after dropping from last year’s high of 151.94 towards the YTD low of 127.21 on January 16. Nevertheless, the USD/JPY needs to clear the confluence of the 100-day EMA and the YTD high at 134.77 to cement the uptrend.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Rate of Change (RoC) show that buyers are gathering momentum. Hence, the USD/JPY might test the 135.00 psychological level in the near term.

The USD/JPY 4-hour chart depicts the pair as bullish biased after breaking from the 131.70-133.00 consolidation range, eyeing to test the YTD high at 134.77. Even though the RSI shifted overbought, as long as it stays below 80, it portrays the USD/JPY in a strong uptrend. The RoC shows buyers are in control and might continue to ride the trend.

Therefore, the USD/JPY first resistance would be the YTD high at 134.77. A breach of the latter and the pair might get to 135.00, followed by 136.00, and then the December 19 daily high of 137.47.

USD/JPY 4-Hour chart

USD/JPY Key technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price134.21
Today Daily Change1.17
Today Daily Change %0.88
Today daily open133.04
 
Trends
Daily SMA20130.51
Daily SMA50132.1
Daily SMA100137.96
Daily SMA200136.85
 
Levels
Previous Daily High133.32
Previous Daily Low131.5
Previous Weekly High132.91
Previous Weekly Low129.81
Previous Monthly High134.78
Previous Monthly Low127.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%132.62
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%132.19
Daily Pivot Point S1131.92
Daily Pivot Point S2130.8
Daily Pivot Point S3130.11
Daily Pivot Point R1133.74
Daily Pivot Point R2134.43
Daily Pivot Point R3135.55

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY meets support near 157.00

USD/JPY retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, revisiting the 157.00 region before attempting some recovery as investors continue to assess the latest BoJ meeting, where the central bank left rates unchanged, as widely anticipated.

Gold sinks to fresh yearly lows despite risk-off mood as Fed rate hike bets weigh

Gold slips to fresh year-to-date lows on Friday. The metal struggles despite a risk-off mood across markets, as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes continue to dominate price action, leaving Gold on track to end the month in negative territory.


Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
BoJ recap: A pause for now... but Japan has entered a new inflation phase
The Bank of Japan left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 1.25% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message on the risk of an inflation overshoot. The decision passed by 8-1, with board member Takata dissenting in favour of an increase to 1.5%, while Governor Kazuo Ueda stressed that the Bank would continue adjusting policy as needed.
The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.