|

USD/JPY outlook still unclear, rangebound likely near term – UOB

FX Strategists at UOB Group noted the pair’s outlook stays unclear, although extra sideline appears probable in the near term.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “Instead of extending its decline (as expected yesterday), USD rebounded strongly from a low of 110.45. The underlying tone has improved with the recovery but any further USD strength is not expected to break above the major 111.50 resistance (minor resistance is at 111.30). Support is at 110.65 followed by 110.40”.

Next 1-3 week: “The price action in USD continues to confound us as it surrendered most of the gains made over the past two days. Note that USD rebounded strongly from a low of 110.10 Monday (13 Aug) and hit a high of 111.42 yesterday (15 Aug) before dropping sharply and closed at 110.73 in NY (-0.36%). As highlighted yesterday, the outlook is unclear and it appears that USD is trading in a broad range now. After yesterday’s price action, the expected range is likely lower between 109.85 and 111.50 (instead of 110.30/112.20 as expected previously)”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold fades the earlier optimism; back below $4,200

Gold could not sustain the post-NFP bull run past the $4,200 mark per troy ounce, receding toward the $4,180 region at the end of the week. The precious metal’s inconclusive price action comes amid fresh selling pressure hurting the US Dollar as investors assess the latest NFP data.

Week ahead: Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout
The first full week of October and the final quarter of the year get underway with little fanfare in terms of the economic agenda. But far from being short on excitement, the coming week will test market nerves, as government bond yields continue to soar on growing worries that the energy crisis will only get worse, fuelling inflation.
CFTC Report: Speculators turn more defensive as Oil exposure falls
The week in one sentence: During the week leading up to September 29, long positions in crude oil were significantly reduced, while short positions in the Canadian Dollar went up. In addition, the positioning of the Australian Dollar and the Japanese Yen declined, while Coffee buying stood out against a more general background of defensiveness.
The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.