|

USD/JPY loses traction above 148.00, US data eyed

  • USD/JPY remains under selling pressure near 148.45 amid the softer USD and lower yields.
  • USD continues to lose steam as the markets believe that the Fed is done with the interest rate hiking cycle.
  • The speculation that the BOJ may soon be forced to abandon its negative interest rate policy is growing.
  • Traders will focus on the US Housing Price Index, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, and CB Consumer Confidence.

The USD/JPY pair trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The downtick of the pair is backed by the decline in the US Dollar (USD) and the lower US Treasury bond yields. The pair currently trades around 148.45, losing 0.12% on the day.

The Greenback continues to lose steam as the markets believe that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is done with the interest rate hiking cycle. The US October New Home Sales dropped by 5.6% MoM in October to 679K, worse than the market estimation of 725K, the US Census Bureau showed on Monday. Furthermore, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index for November declined to 19.9 from 19.2 fall in the previous reading.

On the Japanese Yen front, Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Monday the central bank cannot yet affirm with conviction that inflation will reach its 2% target sustainably and stably.

With inflationary pressures seeming to be more persistent than expected, the speculation that the BOJ may soon be forced to abandon its negative interest rate policy is growing, as well as yield curve control, which set a 0% cap on the 10-year bond yield.

Market players will keep an on the US Housing Price Index, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, CB Consumer Confidence, and the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index on Tuesday. Additionally, the Fed officials, including Goolsbee, Waller, Bowman, and Barr are set to speak later on Tuesday. Traders will take cues from these figures and find a trading opportunity around the USD/JPY pair.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price148.3
Today Daily Change-0.33
Today Daily Change %-0.22
Today daily open148.63
 
Trends
Daily SMA20150.23
Daily SMA50149.65
Daily SMA100146.83
Daily SMA200141.85
 
Levels
Previous Daily High149.68
Previous Daily Low148.54
Previous Weekly High149.99
Previous Weekly Low147.16
Previous Monthly High151.72
Previous Monthly Low147.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%148.98
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%149.24
Daily Pivot Point S1148.22
Daily Pivot Point S2147.82
Daily Pivot Point S3147.09
Daily Pivot Point R1149.36
Daily Pivot Point R2150.08
Daily Pivot Point R3150.49

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).