|

USD/JPY loses traction above 148.00, US data eyed

  • USD/JPY remains under selling pressure near 148.45 amid the softer USD and lower yields.
  • USD continues to lose steam as the markets believe that the Fed is done with the interest rate hiking cycle.
  • The speculation that the BOJ may soon be forced to abandon its negative interest rate policy is growing.
  • Traders will focus on the US Housing Price Index, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, and CB Consumer Confidence.

The USD/JPY pair trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The downtick of the pair is backed by the decline in the US Dollar (USD) and the lower US Treasury bond yields. The pair currently trades around 148.45, losing 0.12% on the day.

The Greenback continues to lose steam as the markets believe that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is done with the interest rate hiking cycle. The US October New Home Sales dropped by 5.6% MoM in October to 679K, worse than the market estimation of 725K, the US Census Bureau showed on Monday. Furthermore, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index for November declined to 19.9 from 19.2 fall in the previous reading.

On the Japanese Yen front, Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated on Monday the central bank cannot yet affirm with conviction that inflation will reach its 2% target sustainably and stably.

With inflationary pressures seeming to be more persistent than expected, the speculation that the BOJ may soon be forced to abandon its negative interest rate policy is growing, as well as yield curve control, which set a 0% cap on the 10-year bond yield.

Market players will keep an on the US Housing Price Index, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, CB Consumer Confidence, and the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index on Tuesday. Additionally, the Fed officials, including Goolsbee, Waller, Bowman, and Barr are set to speak later on Tuesday. Traders will take cues from these figures and find a trading opportunity around the USD/JPY pair.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price148.3
Today Daily Change-0.33
Today Daily Change %-0.22
Today daily open148.63
 
Trends
Daily SMA20150.23
Daily SMA50149.65
Daily SMA100146.83
Daily SMA200141.85
 
Levels
Previous Daily High149.68
Previous Daily Low148.54
Previous Weekly High149.99
Previous Weekly Low147.16
Previous Monthly High151.72
Previous Monthly Low147.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%148.98
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%149.24
Daily Pivot Point S1148.22
Daily Pivot Point S2147.82
Daily Pivot Point S3147.09
Daily Pivot Point R1149.36
Daily Pivot Point R2150.08
Daily Pivot Point R3150.49

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak near 1.1650 ahead of critical US events

EUR/USD stays in the red near 1.1650 in the European trading hours on Friday. The pair remains undermined by broad US Dollar strength and a cautious market mood. Traders keenly await the US Nonfarm Payrolls data and Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's tariff powers for further direction. 

GBP/USD holds lower ground below 1.3450, with eyes on US data

GBP/USD remains subdued for the fourth consecutive day, while trading below 1.3450 in the European session on Friday. Markets remain in a wait-and-see mode before the key US event risks and prefer to hold the US Dollar, which weighs negatively on the pair. The US monthly jobs data and the Supreme Court decision on tariffs are awaited. 

Gold flat lines around $4,475; looks to US NFP report for fresh impetus

Gold reverses a modest intraday dip to the $4,453 area, and trades near the top end of its daily range heading into the European session. The upside, however, seems limited as traders might opt to wait for the US Nonfarm Payrolls report later today. The crucial employment details will be looked upon for more cues about the Federal Reserve's rate-cut path.

Nonfarm Payrolls expected to show US labor market remained weak in December

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Nonfarm Payrolls data for December on Friday at 13:30 GMT. Economists expect Nonfarm Payrolls to rise by 60,000 in December following the 64,000 increase recorded in November.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pepe Price Forecast: PEPE risks 100-day EMA fallout as bullish interest fades

Pepe is under extreme selling pressure, trading in the red for the fifth consecutive day, down 1% at press time on Friday. Pepe’s decline following a 72% hike last week suggests a likely profit-booking phase, while on-chain data indicates declining network activity.