|

USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a range between 151.85 and 152.75 – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 151.85 and 152.75. In the longer run, the current price movements are likely the early stages of a 149.50/153.00 range-trading phase, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Current price movements are likely a part of a range-trading phase

24-HOUR VIEW: "USD fell sharply and closed at 151.15 last Friday. Yesterday, USD opened on a strong note, and when it was at 152.05, we stated that 'the immediate downward pressure appears to be easing, and instead of continuing to decline, USD is more likely to trade in a range today, expected to be between 151.30 and 152.70.' However, USD traded within a narrower range of 151.70/152.44. The price movement still appear to be part of a range-trading phase, most likely between 151.85 and 152.75."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We revised our view to neutral yesterday (13 Oct, spot at 152.05). We indicated that 'the current price movements are likely the early stages of a range-trading phase, probably between 149.50 and 153.00.' There is no change in our view."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with tops near 1.3470

GBP/USD manages to regain composure and challenge the area of daily highs around 1.3470 on Friday. Cable picks up pace despite marginal gains in the Greenback in a context of swelling geopolitical tensions and rising global oil prices.

Gold remains below $4,100 despite receding Fed hike bets, weak USD

Gold opens with a bullish gap at the start of a new week amid receding Fed rate-hike expectations and a bearish US Dollar. Oil prices tumbled after Trump canceled an attack on Iran and said that a deal is near, easing inflation fears. This forces traders to dial back bets on extreme Fed tightening and drags the USD to a fresh low since June 17, which, in turn, is supporting the non-yielding bullion. However, the recent repeated failures to find acceptance above $4,100 warrant caution for XAU/USD bulls.

Gold remains offered around $4,050 despite falling Oil prices

Gold remains offered around $4,050 in Asia on Monday, despite the sharp sell-off in Oil prices and the USD/JPY slump-driven US Dollar weakness. Prospects of Fed rate hikes and Mideast uncertainty keep the bullion under pressure, as the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) week kicks in.

Week ahead: US payrolls report and AI earnings to keep investors on edge

After the Fed decision, NFP report awaited for more rate hike clues. Employment also on the agenda in Canada and New Zealand. Chinese trade and Japanese wage data to be watched too. But Iran and AI headlines to remain in driver’s seat for risk sentiment.

Middle East War updates: Trump holds off Iran strikes on pledge Hormuz deal is close

Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week. Risk sentiment improves on Monday, undermining demand for the US Dollar Index and drag crude oil prices lower.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.