|

USD/JPY keeps the red below 112.00 mark, despite goodish USD uptick/stable equities

   •  Reviving safe-haven demand underpins JPY and prompts some fresh selling on Thursday.
   •  The USD bid tone picks up the pace after mostly in line US macroeconomic releases.
   •  The upside remains capped amid weaker US bond yields and ahead of Easter holidays.

The USD/JPY pair trimmed a part of its early slide and recovered around 20-pips from weekly lows, albeit struggled to make its way back above the 112.00 round figure mark.

The pair struggled to capitalize on last week's goodish up-move and once again faltered near the 112.15 region - March swing highs, rather met with some supply on Thursday amid reviving safe-haven demand. Sluggish Euro-zone manufacturing PMI prints resurfaced market concerns about the global economic outlook, which boosted the Japanese Yen's safe-haven status and dragged the pair to an intraday low level of 111.77.

Meanwhile, the downside remained cushioned amid a goodish pickup in the US Dollar demand, further supported by today's mostly upbeat US economic data - monthly retail sales data and initial weekly jobless claims. However, a sharp pullback in the US Treasury bond yields, primarily on the back of the global flight to safety kept a lid on the attempted intraday recovery move, at least for the time being.

It would now be interesting to see if the pair is able to attract any follow-through buying or continues with its subdued trading action amid a mildly positive opening in the US equity markets and ahead of a long Easter weekend.

Technical Outlook

Yohay Elam, FXStreet's own Analyst writes: “Critical resistance awaits at the double-top of 112.15 which capped the pair in mid-April and early March. 112.65 capped a recovery attempt in December and also worked as support beforehand. 113.15 was a support line in early December on two occasions. The round number of 114 was a peak in November.”

“The 200-day SMA meets a peak from early January at 111.50. 110.75 provided support in mid-April and also in mid-March. 110.25 was a support line in February, separating ranges back then. 109.75 was the low point in March and marked the beginning of the uptrend support line,” he added further.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1750 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).