|

USD/JPY is melting to the downside from 1998 highs, eyes on 136.06, BoJ minutes released

  • USD/JPY bears take over and eye 136 the figure, or thereabouts. 
  • The 10-min chart's M-formation's neckline aligns with a 36.2% Fibo, offering additional conviction for the downside bias.  

USD/JPY has been an early mover on Wednesday in Asia, falling from a high of 136.71 and dropping to 136.24 so far. The price is however stalling here and consolidation is taking shape after the dovish Bank of Japan Minutes.

Before the sell-off in USD/JPY, the yen weakened to the lowest point since 1998 as investors bought up risk assets following last week's rout in equities.  Bargain hunting put a global bid on equities. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1.3%, moving higher from a more than five-week low and set for its best day in around two weeks.

Japan's benchmark Nikkei average gained 2.22%. European shares also closed higher for a second consecutive day on Tuesday. The Stoxx Europe 600 gained 0.35%, London's FTSE 100 added 0.42%, France's CAC rose 0.75% and Germany's DAX edged up by 0.20%. The Swiss Market Index was off 0.06%. On Wall Street, all sectors in stocks are in the green with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) climbing 641.47 points, or 2.15%, to 30,530.25, and the S&P 500 adding 89.95 points, or 2.45%, at 3,764.79. The Nasdaq Composite put on 270.95 points, or 2.51%, at 11,069.30.

Consequently, the yen is gaining against a softer US dollar and rising euro. The single unit rose on Tuesday, drawing support from the European Central Bank's plans to raise interest rates to contain inflation. The dollar index DXY, which tracks the greenback against six major peers including the euro and the yen, was down 0.2% at 104.23, with eyes on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's testimony to Congress, which kicks off on Wednesday. Investors will be pivoting to Fed Chair's testimony, looking for further clues on future interest rate hikes and his latest views on the economy. 

USD/JPY technical analysis

As per the prior multi-timeframe analysis from the New York session, USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears are lurking and a significant correction could be on the cards, a topping formation was highlighted on the 5-min chart:

The price has subsequently dropped as follows, leaving a menacing M-formation on the hourly chart:

The bulls are moving in at this juncture and the price imbalance could be mitigated below any further downside towards 136 the figure.

If, on the other hand, the bears commit at this juncture, then the 36.2% Fibo may be confirmed as a strong enough correction:

The 10-min chart's M-formation's neckline aligns with the Fibo, offering additional conviction to the downside case.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.