|

USD/JPY in search of a firm direction, consolidates below 108.00 handle

  • Positive trade-related headlines continued weighing on the JPY’s safe-haven status.
  • The prevalent USD selling bias/a modest pullback in the US bond yields capped gains.

The USD/JPY pair now seems to have entered a bullish consolidation phase and was seen oscillating in a narrow trading band, just below the 108.00 handle.
 
Hopes of progress in the US-China trade talks kept the safe-haven Japanese yen on the defensive on the last trading day. The pair did get a minor lift during the early Asian session in reaction to the US President Donald Trump's positive trade-related comments, albeit lacked any strong follow-through.

Trade optimism remains supportive

President Trump, while speaking at a campaign rally in Minneapolis, said that trade talks with China are going well and that a deal could be reached. However, the prevalent US Dollar selling bias seemed to be the only factor holding investors from placing fresh bullish bets and capped any further gains.
 
Thursday’s softer US CPI figures reinforced market expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates further at its upcoming monetary policy meeting on October 29-30 and kept exerting some downward pressure on the Greenback, which eventually led to the pair's subdued/range-bound price action.
 
This coupled with a modest intraday pullback in the US Treasury bond yields might further collaborate towards keeping a lid on the pair's attempted bullish move, though a more bullish mood across global financial markets should help limit any deeper losses, at least for the time being.
 
Moving ahead, market participants now look forward to the US economic docket – featuring the release of Prelim UoM consumer sentiment index – for some short-term trading opportunities. Meanwhile, the focus will remain on the incoming trade-related headlines, which might continue to act as a key driver of the pair's momentum.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price107.99
Today Daily Change0.02
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open107.97
 
Trends
Daily SMA20107.66
Daily SMA50106.92
Daily SMA100107.6
Daily SMA200109.07
 
Levels
Previous Daily High108.02
Previous Daily Low107.03
Previous Weekly High108.48
Previous Weekly Low106.48
Previous Monthly High108.48
Previous Monthly Low105.74
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%107.64
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%107.41
Daily Pivot Point S1107.32
Daily Pivot Point S2106.68
Daily Pivot Point S3106.33
Daily Pivot Point R1108.31
Daily Pivot Point R2108.66
Daily Pivot Point R3109.3

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.