|

USD/JPY holds near nine-month highs as USD strengthens

  • JPY weakens as Japan’s expansionary fiscal stance continues to pressure the currency.
  • US Dollar remains firm on stronger economic data and fading hopes of a December rate cut.
  • Markets await delayed US data, with the September NFP report in focus this Thursday.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday as Japan’s expansionary fiscal stance under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi continues to weigh on the currency. The government’s push for large-scale spending and the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) reluctance to move toward policy tightening keep the Yen under steady pressure.

At the time of writing, USD/JPY is trading near 155.19, its highest level in more than nine months, with a firm US Dollar adding to the upward bias.

The Greenback remains broadly supported as traders trim bets on a December interest-rate cut following a round of cautious remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials last week. Policymakers have signaled little urgency to ease policy, stressing that inflation risks remain in place even as the labor market shows signs of cooling.

Adding to the USD’s strength, the latest NY Empire State Manufacturing Index for November surprised to the upside at 18.7, beating expectations of 6.0 and rising sharply from the prior 10.7 reading. US Construction Spending for August also surprised slightly to the upside, rising 0.2% against expectations for a 0.1% decline, matching the prior month’s 0.2% increase.

Meanwhile, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson delivered slightly dovish but cautious remarks on Monday, noting rising risks to employment and a gradual cooling in the labor market, in contrast to the hawkish messaging from other Fed officials last week. He said policymakers need to proceed slowly as rates approach neutral, while warning that it is still unclear how much government data will be available ahead of the next meeting.

Attention now turns to the release of US economic data delayed by the government shutdown, with the September Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report in focus on Thursday.

Earlier in the day, Japan’s preliminary Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data offered little support to the Yen with the economy contracting 0.4% QoQ and -1.8% annualized, both better than forecast. However, the figures reinforced the view that domestic momentum remains soft, keeping investors focused on the government’s aggressive fiscal stance.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.26%0.05%0.42%0.04%0.48%0.21%0.26%
EUR-0.26%-0.23%0.18%-0.23%0.22%-0.05%0.00%
GBP-0.05%0.23%0.39%-0.01%0.43%0.16%0.22%
JPY-0.42%-0.18%-0.39%-0.39%0.05%-0.21%-0.16%
CAD-0.04%0.23%0.01%0.39%0.45%0.18%0.23%
AUD-0.48%-0.22%-0.43%-0.05%-0.45%-0.27%-0.21%
NZD-0.21%0.05%-0.16%0.21%-0.18%0.27%0.05%
CHF-0.26%-0.00%-0.22%0.16%-0.23%0.21%-0.05%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.