|

USD/JPY holding ground near 148.80 after rumored BoJ currency intervention

  • The USD/JPY sunk to 147.31 on rumored BoJ intervention before settling near 148.80.
  • Market intervention on the Yen remains a rumor until official confirmation from Japan sources.
  • It took three minutes for the USD/JPY to collapse over 270 pips, or -1.81%.

The USD/JPY into the low end heading into Wednesday's market session after an assumed Bank of Japan (BoJ) intervention on Tuesday saw the pair tumble nearly 2% from the day's peak just over the 150.00 major handle. 

The pair is now trading down into 148.80 after the pair staged a moderate recovery immediately following the rumored BoJ intervention.

Traders will be looking ahead to Wednesday's US Services Purchasing Manager Index (PMI), which is expected to tick down slightly from 54.5 to 53.6.

Forex Today: Yen wakes up as the Dollar remains robust, RBNZ next

The economic calendar is notably thin for the Japanese side, and the data docket is free for USD/JPY to jostle into position heading into another US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday.

 Broad-market sentiment has soured lately, sending investors piling into the US Dollar (USD). A narrowly-averted US government shutdown is likely to continue weighing on investor confidence, as the emergency stopgap measures only see US federal operations funded through mid-November.

Rising US Treasury yields on a lack of government confidence and ongoing fears of a potential global economic slowdown sees the US Dollar in a firm position, and any declines in the US Dollar Index are unlikely to be maintained.

USD/JPY technical outlook

Despite the rumored BoJ intervention, the USD/JPY remains in a notably bullish position, with market prices not far from yearly highs, and a bounce back above 150.00 will see the pair trading into its highest prices in decades.

Daily candlesticks see the USD/JPY remaining well-buoyed by the 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 147.00, far above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 138.00.

Technical indicators have been breaking under the weight of the Greenback's march up the charts, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been at or near the overbought limit since August.

USD/JPY daily chart

USD/JPY technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price148.84
Today Daily Change-1.01
Today Daily Change %-0.67
Today daily open149.85
 
Trends
Daily SMA20148.14
Daily SMA50145.84
Daily SMA100143.29
Daily SMA200138.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High149.88
Previous Daily Low149.37
Previous Weekly High149.71
Previous Weekly Low148.25
Previous Monthly High149.71
Previous Monthly Low144.44
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%149.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%149.57
Daily Pivot Point S1149.53
Daily Pivot Point S2149.2
Daily Pivot Point S3149.02
Daily Pivot Point R1150.03
Daily Pivot Point R2150.21
Daily Pivot Point R3150.54

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.