|

USD/JPY hangs near two-week lows, just above 109.00 mark

  • USD/JPY witnessed some follow-through selling for the second straight session on Tuesday.
  • The risk-on impulse, rebounding US bond yields undermined the JPY and helped limit losses.
  • A sustained break below the 109.00 mark is needed to support prospects for further decline.

The USD/JPY pair now seems to have entered a bearish consolidation phase and was seen oscillating in a range near two-week lows, just above the 109.00 mark touched earlier this Tuesday.

The pair added to the previous day's losses and witnessed some follow-through selling for the second consecutive session amid the prevalent selling bias surrounding the US dollar. Firming market expectations that the Fed will retain its ultra-lose policy stance for a longer period, along with Monday's disappointing US ISM Manufacturing PMI continued weighing on the USD.

In fact, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that business activity in the US manufacturing sector slowed for the second successive month in July. This comes amid the spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus cases in the US and overshadowed the optimism over a $1-trillion US infrastructure investment bill, which could be ready for a final vote as early as this week.

That said, a combination of factors undermined the Japanese yen and helped limit any deeper losses for the USD/JPY pair. A generally positive tone in the equity markets dented demand for traditional safe-haven currencies, including the JPY. The risk-on impulse was reinforced by a solid rebound in the US Treasury bond yields, which extended some support to the USD and the major.

Apart from this, the worsening COVID-19 situation in Japan should further hold traders from placing any aggressive bullish bets around the JPY and act as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained break below the 109.00 mark before positioning for any further depreciating move amid absent relevant market-moving economic releases from the US.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price109.2
Today Daily Change-0.11
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open109.31
 
Trends
Daily SMA20110.04
Daily SMA50110.09
Daily SMA100109.6
Daily SMA200107.16
 
Levels
Previous Daily High109.77
Previous Daily Low109.19
Previous Weekly High110.58
Previous Weekly Low109.36
Previous Monthly High111.66
Previous Monthly Low109.06
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%109.41
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.55
Daily Pivot Point S1109.08
Daily Pivot Point S2108.84
Daily Pivot Point S3108.49
Daily Pivot Point R1109.66
Daily Pivot Point R2110.01
Daily Pivot Point R3110.25

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed EU PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers further toward 1.3500 after UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground further toward 1.3500 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after stronger-than-expected UK January Retail Sales and February PMI data. However, the pair's further upside could be limited amid persistent US Dollar strength as the focus turns to key US data. 

Gold sticks to positive bias above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. holding above $5,000. Traders now look forward to the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – for fresh trading impetus. 

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.