|

USD/JPY fades a spike to 106.80, focus on Treasury yields, US data

  • USD/JPY sees volatile moves in early Europe amid holiday-thinned trades.
  • A sharp recovery in Treasury yields and S&P 500 futures knocks off Yen.
  • Looming recession risks amid an inverted US yield curve to weigh ahead of US data.

Heading into Europe, the USD/JPY pair witnessed a sudden bout of aggressive buying and jumped to 106.78 highs, reversing Wednesday’s slide. However, the sellers returned at higher levels, knocking-off the rates back towards the 106.25 region, where it now wavers.

Mixed market sentiment to keep the gains limited

The volatile move in the spot seen over the last hour can be largely attributed to the holiday-thinned trades in Europe, with the Italian, Spanish and French markets closed in observance of Assumption Day.

Moreover, the extension of the relief rally in US equity futures and a bounce seen in the Treasury yields across the curve further helped the spot extend the break above the 106 handle. Meanwhile, the US dollar index trades near 98 handle, consolidating the recent rally to weekly tops of 98.05.

Despite the renewed strength, the growing recession fears, as signaled by the US 2-year-10-year Treasury yield curve inversion will continue to keep the bulls on the edge. Therefore, any upside in the pair is likely to be short-lived, as the demand for the safe-haven Yen is likely to remain underpinned amid market panic and unrest.

The US Retail Sales data among other minority reports will also have a significant impact on the major while the risk sentiment will continue to remain the main market driver in the day ahead.

USD/JPY Technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price106.31
Today Daily Change0.42
Today Daily Change %0.40
Today daily open105.91
 
Trends
Daily SMA20107.26
Daily SMA50107.78
Daily SMA100109.21
Daily SMA200110.16
Levels
Previous Daily High106.77
Previous Daily Low105.65
Previous Weekly High107.09
Previous Weekly Low105.26
Previous Monthly High109.01
Previous Monthly Low107.21
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%106.08
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%106.34
Daily Pivot Point S1105.45
Daily Pivot Point S2104.99
Daily Pivot Point S3104.33
Daily Pivot Point R1106.57
Daily Pivot Point R2107.23
Daily Pivot Point R3107.69

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold picks pace, flirts with $5,000

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and pushing higher towards the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.